About Hawkins Commercial Realty

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Hawkins Commercial Realty is an entrepreneurial boutique commercial real estate brokerage helping business owners and investors in the Miami, Florida area navigate the processes of buying, selling, and leasing property, and providing M&A/business brokerage services. The company’s guiding principles are to always be responsive, to be effectively, steadily assertive, to continuously develop and utilize competency, to be sensibly creative, and to seek to add value to the process. The company was founded and is owned by a seasoned entrepreneur with more than 25 years of experience in commercial real estate as a broker or principal… (more)

James Hawkins lic. Real Estate Broker

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May 20, 2020

Miami Commercial Real Estate News July 24, 2024: 830 Brickell Snags $565M Refi; Citadel Submits Supertall Site Plan; More…

Construction Starts on Brownsville Transit Village’s Fifth Phase at 5255 N.W. 29th Avenue in Metro Miami

On Monday, July 22nd, Miami-Dade County officials celebrated the groundbreaking of Brownsville Transit Village’s fifth phase. Currently, the affordable housing development offers 401 apartments, along with a 660-spot parking garage and 6,400 square feet of retail. The fifth phase will add an additional 120 homes targeted at those earning 30 percent to 80 percent…

Contractor Hired To Build 56-Story ‘Architectural Marvel’ Villa Miami, Groundbreaking Soon

The developers planning the Villa Miami tower have hired a general contractor. Moss Construction will build the 56-story, 650-foot-tall “architectural marvel,” the developers said. Groundbreaking is planned for this summer. Villa Miami will feature a distinctive copper color-cladded exoskeletal design that “promises to make it an iconic tower.” “Villa Miami is an elegantly…”

Casa Forma Developer Advocating For Omni Community Redevelopment Agency Extension

The developer planning Casa Forma says an extension of the Omni Community Redevelopment Agency will help the project to proceed, according to the SFBJ. Casa Forma is planned to include 1,441 residential units, 143,328 square feet of office, 7,959 square feet of retail, and 1,532 parking spaces. The tower would rise 55 stories, or 650 feet. It would be developed by Crescent Heights…

830 Brickell office tower lands $565M perm loan, among South Florida’s biggest refinancings ever

The office tower 830 Brickell scored a $565 million loan from an Elliott Investment Management-backed lender, marking one of South Florida’s biggest refinancings ever. Vlad Doronin’s OKO Group and Cain International are developing the 57-story tower at 830 Brickell Plaza in Miami. The project, the first new standalone office tower in the Brickell Financial District in the past…

Second Meeting Scheduled To Discuss City-County Conflict Over Rapid Transit Zoning

Miami has issued notice of another joint public meeting to discuss a conflict over Miami-Dade’s Rapid Transit zoning. The first public joint meeting to discuss the conflict took place in March. Here’s what is planned at the new meeting, according to the agenda: A discussion, pursuant to the Florida governmental conflict Resolution act procedures of Chapter 164….

342-Unit Luxury Apartment Development Reaches Completion On The Miami River

Remi on the River has reached completion. The eight-story building includes 342 luxury apartments, ranging from 465 to 1,334 square feet. Remi is the second phase of the development. The first phase, known as Waterline, includes 346 apartments, which were fully leased within months of opening. Mast Capital and AEW are the developers. Corwil is the architect.

Mast Capital, AEW Complete 342-Unit Remi on the River Apartments in Miami

Mast Capital and AEW have completed Remi on the River, a 342-unit apartment community located at 999 N.W. 7th St. in Miami’s River District. The eight-story property features 400 feet of frontage along the Miami River, as well as studio, one-, two- and three-bedroom apartments spanning from 465 to 1,334 square feet in size. Monthly rental rates range from $2,171 to $4,897…

Lender sues to foreclose on Bay Harbor Islands condo site

An affiliate of Allure Development Group is being sued for foreclosure over a stalled condo development in Bay Harbor Islands. Saluda Grade Alternative Mortgage Trust 2023-BC3 sued BHI The Club 2 LLC over the remaining $10.2 million unpaid balance on a $16.5 million loan, according to records and real estate database Vizzda. The loan backs the development site where…

Merrick Parc Phase II wins OK for 225 residences, commercial

The second phase of what will be dual mixed-use residential towers in Miami’s southwest area cleared the city’s Urban Development Review Board with a recommended approval for Merrick Parc Phase II and a suggestion to consider replacing some palms in the landscaping plan with shade trees. This second phase will see construction of a 20-story mixed-use building…

County’s first three-story public library taking shape for branch in Downtown Doral

Downtown Doral is set to welcome the new Doral Branch Library for patrons to use and enjoy. The three-story library, at 5360 NW 84th Ave., will include books, technology and a terrace. It is expected to open its doors in June 2025. The library is rising across from Doral’s City Hall, near schools and retail stores, said Ray Baker, director of the Miami-Dade Public Library System.

Doral gaining during nation’s commercial realty dip

Doral’s commercial real estate defies national trends and continues to showcase high demand. “Viewing commercial real estate overall, even on a national scale,” said Matthew Rotolante, president and broker at Lee and Associates South Florida, “I would say Miami, Doral included… is somewhat resilient in the face of some of the trends that are taking place on a national scale.”

Grove Village, OK’d in 2011, finally moving ahead

A sweeping development destined to transform about 12 acres in the West Grove is finally moving forward with a city board’s unanimous approval. Grove Village, a six-block mixed-use residential and commercial project, has been in the works for more than a decade. The original Grove Village Major Use Special Permit (MUSP) was approved by the City of Miami in 2011.

New Central Park in Doral set to open

Inauguration plans are set for the east portion of the Doral Central Park, according to city officials. As part of the $150 million Doral Parks General Obligation Bond, the flagship project at 3000 NW 87th Ave. will be opening its first half on Aug. 24 with a community event. The project’s opening includes the amphitheater, skate park, playgrounds, multipurpose fields, a boardwalk…

Rodney Harris: Miami Gardens mayor cites taxable value rise and stability

Since becoming the mayor of Miami Gardens in 2020, Rodney Harris’ biggest motivation to build the city a thriving, productive place to live, worship, work and play has been the commitment to residents who initially placed him in public service. In November 2012, he was elected a councilman and in August 2016, he was re-elected for a second term. Later in his career as a public servant…

Nearly 600 Apartments Now Open At New 1.5M Square Foot Overtown Complex

In Overtown, the residential component at Sawyer’s Walk (formerly known as Block 55) has officialy opened. Developer SG Holdings, a partnership among Swerdlow Group, SJM Partners, and Alben Duffie, announced the opening this morning. “We’re pleased to announce the highly anticipated opening of nearly 600 residences at Sawyer’s Walk, a tremendous milestone for the city…

FAA Approves Midtown Miami’s Tallest Tower, Midtown One

The Federal Aviation Administration has completed a review of the proposed Midtown One tower, which is set to become the tallest in the neighborhood. According to a July 15 determination letter, the building’s proposed height of 610 feet above ground level and 623 feet above mean sea level does not pose a hazard to air navigation. Midtown 1 is planned to include: 329 residential units…

Miami Review Board Rejects Tall Towers on Small Lots

Miami’s Urban Development Review Board (UDRB) has rejected two projects this month to build really tall towers on small lots, calling both projects “out of scale.” Under Miami’s zoning laws, the board is required to review any project proposal that exceeds 200K SF and base its recommendations to the city planning director on the project’s “urban quality, compatibility and contribution…

SJC Ventures, Nuveen to Develop Whole Foods-Anchored Shopping Center in Doral

Atlanta-based SJC Ventures and Nuveen Real Estate have formed a partnership to develop Doral Marketplace, a new shopping center in suburban Miami that will be anchored by Whole Foods Market. The partnership recently purchased a 10-acre site at the southwest corner of NW 41st Street and NW 107th Avenue for the development, which is set to break ground this fall. The site is…

SJC, Nuveen drop $32M for Doral dev site, plan Whole Foods-anchored mixed-use project

SJC Ventures and Nuveen Real Estate scooped up a development site in Doral for $32 million, with plans for a Whole Foods Market-anchored project. Atlanta-based SJC and New York-based Nuveen bought the 10-acre vacant property on the southwest corner of Northwest 41st Street and Northwest 107th Avenue from Bridge Industrial, according to an SJC and Bridge…

Revised Plans and New Renderings Revealed for 1 Southside Park in Brickell

JDS Development Group has filed revised plans and renderings with Miami-Dade County for Brickell’s massive 1 Southside Park, currently under construction. Designed by SHoP Architects with ODP Architecture & Design as the architect of record, the project includes a residential component known as Mercedes Benz Places. The proposed changes to the project…

“Way out of scale”: Miami board rejects SB, Hazelton’s 55-story Edgewater tower

Amid intense neighborhood opposition against a proposal for a 55-story tower in Edgewater, a Miami project review board rejected the plan by SB Development and Hazelton Capital Group. The Urban Development Review Board voted 6-0 on Wednesday to recommend denial of the 463-unit project proposed for a 0.3-acre lot 419 Northeast 19th Street, between the Cité on the Bay…

Brickell Citadel HQ Tower Moves To Pre-Application Phase, With Public Baywalk

An affiliate of Citadel has filed a pre-application with Miami-Dade County for a new mixed-use tower in Brickell. Previous reports have said the tower could end up being a supertall, but the building’s overall size or height was not listed in the new filing. The purpose of the pre-application is to review the approval process and discuss filing requirements. According to the new…

Billionaire Ken Griffin submits site plan for mixed-use Miami supertall

Billionaire Ken Griffin is moving forward with plans to develop a $1 billion-plus mixed-use tower in Miami’s Brickell Financial District. Griffin’s attorney, Neisen Kasdin, this week submitted a pre-application for the sites at 1201 Brickell Bay Drive, 1221 Brickell Avenue and 1250-1260 Brickell Bay Drive. Griffin, founder and CEO of his hedge fund Citadel and owner…

Work Underway At Excel Miami Site, Where 424 Residential Units Planned

Site work is now underway at the Excel Miami site, according to Ryan RC Rea. The city issued a site work permit for the property on June 19, and a tree permit on June 25. The master permit to build the new tower and a phased vertical permit are both still in the review process. Excel Miami is planned to rise 24 stories, and include: 424 residential units (of which 216 will be micro-units)…

Block Capital buys into Diesel Wynwood project, plans relaunch

The Miculitzki family’s Block Capital Group bought into Diesel Wynwood, Bel Invest Group’s planned branded condominium project in the trendy Miami neighborhood, The Real Deal has learned. Wynwood-based Block Capital is taking the lead on the development, according to sources. Bel-Invest Group, led by CEO Maximilian Beltrame, remains a partner. Block Capital…

650-Foot Cranes Approved For Lofty Brickell Construction Site

Several cranes have just been approved for the Lofty Brickell construction site. According to a determination issued by the Federal Aviation Administration on July 17, the temporary cranes can rise 650 feet above ground, or 653 feet above sea level. Lofty Brickell is planned as a 44-story building with 364 residential units allowing short-term rentals. The permanent height…

Master Building Permit Issued for 75-Story ‘Baccarat Residences Miami’

A master building permit has been issued for Baccarat Residences Miami, a luxury condominium tower developed by Related Group and GTIS Partners and designed by Arquitectónica. Miami’s Building Department issued the permit to allow for the continued development of the 848-foot-tall skyscraper, under construction at 99 Southeast 5th Street and expected to be completed in early…

Master Construction Permit Issued At 75-Story Baccarat Residences Construction Site

A master construction permit was issued this week for Brickell’s 75-story Baccarat Residences tower. Records show the master permit was issued on July 15, with John Moriarty the contractor. It replaces a phased vertical permit. Baccarat is one of the tallest towers to ever go vertical in Miami, with a planned height of 75 stories, or 848 feet above ground and 852 feet above sea level.

Transit-Oriented Affordable Community Breaks Ground in Miami

The Miami-Dade County Department of Transportation and Public Works, Department of Housing and Urban Development and the County’s Department Public Housing and Community Development have broken ground on Phase V of Brownsville Transit Village, a 120-unit affordable development in Miami. Project partners include Atlantic Pacific Cos., Mount Sinai Community…

Developer Files Pre-Application for ‘Naranja Grove Apartments’ Located at 23435 SW 127th Ave in Homestead

An affiliate of Onyx Housing Group hopes to get approval for a multi-family housing development on farmland in Miami-Dade County. The Naranja Grove Apartments would require 318,108 square feet of new construction, rising eight stories and comprising 285 apartments. According to the South Florida Business Journal, the one-bedroom to three-bedroom homes…

Miami’s Watson Island Development Proposals Reviewed by Climate Resilience Committee

The City of Miami Climate Resilience Committee recently reviewed two proposals concerning developing and using City-owned waterfront property on Watson Island. These proposals were presented for evaluation due to their deviation from previous plans and now include updated requests and public benefits. The following steps involve potential approval by the Miami City…

454-Unit, 28-Story Tower Proposed Under Live Local Act in Little Haiti area of Miami

Developers 8038 and 165 Owner LLC, an affiliate of New York- and Miami-based Infinity Collective, and Miami-based MVW Partners, have proposed a residential development in Miami’s Little Haiti neighborhood under the state’s Live Local Act. The city’s Urban Development Review Board is currently reviewing the application for the 2.17-acre site at 165 Northeast 80th Ter…

Miami International Airport Approves Cargo Facility That Will Move It Up Ranks Of World’s Busiest

Miami International Airport is already the busiest international cargo airport in the U.S., and one of the busiest in the world. Now, a new vertical cargo facility has been approved that will significantly increase airport cargo volumes. Miami-Dade County commissioners voted this week to approve a deal with private developers to build the $400m Vertically Integrated Cargo…

372-Unit Residential Development Planned In Overtown

Plans have been announced for a 22-story development in Overtown called One West Twelve Residences. One West Twelve Residences will include 372 residential units, delivered finished and furnished and allowing short-term rentals. PMG, Lion Development Group, and LNDMRK are the developers. Cube 3 is the architect.  Numbers of pics are displayed…

H&R REIT, Urban-X Receive Approval for 28-Story MidRiverVu Apartment Tower in Miami

Canada-based H&R REIT and Miami-based Urban-X Group have received approval from the City of Miami’s Planning, Zoning and Appeals Board for MidRiverVu, a 28-story apartment tower. The 475-unit, market-rate community will be situated on a 2-acre site at 1411 N.W. North River Drive in Miami’s MidRiver district, which is west of the downtown area. The property represents…

Tatiana Pino now owns Century Homebuilders after Sergio Pino’s death, her attorney says

Developer Sergio Pino’s death by suicide on Tuesday — as federal agents descended on his home to arrest him — makes his estranged wife, Tatiana Pino, the sole owner of their development firm, Century Homebuilders Group, according to her attorney. And just one day after Sergio’s death, his brother submitted a will, kicking off the probate process tied to the distribution…

BH, Prime submit plans for 15-story hotel in Hallandale Beach

BH Group and Prime Group now plan a hotel on a Hallandale Beach development site where the joint venture previously envisioned a condo-hotel. The joint venture recently submitted a site plan to the city of Hallandale Beach for a 15-story building with 246 hotel rooms, 281 parking spaces and a public plaza at 804 South Federal Highway, according to city records. The project…

Investors scoop up dev site near Pompano Beach casino for $29M, amid near record South Florida multifamily pipeline

Atlantic Residential and Northwestern Mutual Life Insurance scooped up a development site for $29.1 million, to build apartments near Harrah’s Pompano Beach Casino. Their purchase comes amid a near record construction pipeline of multifamily units in South Florida, which has slowed leasing and calmed rent growth. Atlanta-based Atlantic and Milwaukee-based Northwestern…

Prestige scores $20M construction loan for Davie workforce housing project

Prestige Companies can move ahead with a workforce housing project in Davie after landing a $20 million construction loan. A Boca Raton-based entity, Mint 12 Income 3, provided the financing for Pioneer Lofts, a planned garden-style complex with 105 apartments at 6325 Southwest 37th Street, records show. Designed by Hialeah-based architect Albert Gonzalez, Pioneer Lofts…

Plans Filed for New 2-Story Padel and Pickleball Facility at 4000 N. Federal Highway in Fort Lauderdale

A two-story padel and indoor pickleball court facility has been proposed to rise along Federal Highway in Fort Lauderdale. The city’s Development Review Committee is set to review plans for the 1.01-acre site at 4000 and 4008 North Federal Highway on July 23. Padel Broward LLC, managed by Arvinder Bajaj of AB Diversified of Plantation, Vicki Tofte and Vilic Novovic…

Construction Completes on BSO’s New Research, Development, and Training Center in Fort Lauderdale

ANF has completed construction of the new Broward Sheriff’s Office (BSO) Research, Development, and Training Center (R.D.T.C.) in Fort Lauderdale, Florida, serving as the construction manager for the project with Saltz Michelson Architects and RDG Planning & Design as the architects. The building is designed to meet Class “A” Office Building standards. The BSO R.D.T.C. is…

Fortress takes back Fort Lauderdale marina, RV park in $86M deed in lieu of foreclosure

The investors in a Fort Lauderdale RV park and marina surrendered the property to the lender through a deed in lieu of foreclosure valued at $85.8 million. Gary Cioffi and Christopher Hein handed back the keys to the 20.2-acre Yacht Haven Park & Marina at 2295 and 2323 West State Road 84 to Fortress Investment Group, according to records and real estate database…

Zaragon sells Plantation office building for $16M, a 6% discount from 2018

Zaragon sold an office building in Plantation for $15.7 million, a 5.5 percent discount from the firm’s purchase price six years ago. The deal comes as distress continues to trickle across South Florida office properties. The tri-county region experienced a leasing frenzy over the past four years, but office landlords haven’t been spared from the sting of higher interest rates and property…

Seaside Builders Proposes ‘The Tropics of Delray’ for 2400 and 2410 N. Federal Highway in Delray Beach

Locally based Seaside Builders has proposed a high-end housing development in Delray Beach. The Tropics of Delray would offer a total of 34 units: 16 condos in a four-story building and 18 townhomes divided between three six-story buildings. According to the South Florida Business Journal, the condos would measure 2,405 to 3,690 square feet, while the townhomes…

Parking Lot Could Serve as 289-Unit Multifamily at 900 Broken Sound Parkway Northwest in Boca Raton

Locally based 900 Broken Sound Acquisition Co. has filed an application with Boca Raton city officials for the construction of a multi-family housing development. If approved, the venture would require 334,295 square feet of new construction and offer 289 units. Per the South Florida Business Journal, about 10 percent (29 homes) would be reserved as affordable housing…

Singaporean REIT sells Boca Raton office building for $82M –– an 18% discount from 2021

A Singaporean real estate investment trust sold the One Town Center office building in Boca Raton for $82 million, marking a 17.6 percent discount from its purchase price three years ago. Prime US REIT, which is publicly traded on the Singapore Exchange, sold the 10-story, 201,000-square-foot building and attached five-story garage at 1 Town Center Road to Gatsby Enterprises…

Asana sells West Palm Beach’s repurposed warehouse district for $20M, as South Florida retail deals flow

Asana Partners sold a portfolio of West Palm Beach warehouses repurposed into retail, restaurant and office space for $19.5 million. The deal comes as such South Florida commercial trades continue, despite higher interest rates. Charlotte, North Carolina-based Asana sold seven one-story buildings at 1300, 1400, 1500 and 1220-1250 Elizabeth Avenue, as well as 1615 Clare Avenue…

Foreclosure Suit Filed Against Developer Of 41-Acre Palm Beach Mixed-Use Project

Brian Tuttle’s plans to create a sprawling mixed-use community in Royal Palm Beach hit what he described as “a little bump in the road” this week after a foreclosure action was filed. A 41-acre site inside the Tuttle Royale community is facing foreclosure after Tuttle Land Investments stopped making payments on three mortgages totaling $38M. The short-term debt originated…

Related joint venture submits plans for Riviera Beach mixed-use project

Related Group, BH Group and Tezral Partners submitted plans for a mixed-use multifamily development in Riviera Beach. The joint venture plans 418 apartments across a 20-story, two-tower project at 1300 Broadway, just north of West Palm Beach. Miami Lakes-based Cohen Freedman Encinosa & Associates Architects is designing the buildings, according to a copy of the preliminary…

Kolter, Perko win Jupiter Island zoning amendment, allowing for condo project

The Kolter Group and Phil Perko won a zoning amendment that paves the way for a Jupiter Island condo project. The Palm Beach County commission voted unanimously Wednesday at its zoning hearing to allow property owners to apply for waivers for setbacks in the redevelopment of existing coastal multifamily buildings. The zoning amendment applies to buildings over 35 feet…

Video: Marathon CEO Bruce Richards on Rate Cut Possibilities, Commercial Real Estate, Election Effects, more…

In a recent conversation on Bloomberg Television, Bruce Richards, CEO, Chairman, and Co-Founder of Marathon Asset Management, delved into critical financial topics. The discussion covered a range of subjects, from U.S. economic trends to central bank policies, offering deep insights into the financial landscape and including potential effects on commercial real estate…

Sentiment among CRE finance executives nationally drops again in new survey

Higher interest rates continue to cast a pall over commercial real estate, and the latest Board of Governors Sentiment Index from the CRE Finance Council (CREFC) reflects the gloom. The second quarter edition of the index dropped 3 percentage points from the first three months of the year to a reading of 105.4. The decrease reflects growing caution among more than 50…

Elevated Completions Continue to Weigh on USA Multifamily Rent Growth

Highlights: After a banner year for housing completions in 2023, both single-family and multifamily completions are poised for another strong year in 2024. However, elevated multifamily completions coupled with rising operating expenses have weakened profit margins for multifamily landlords. Consequently, as of the second quarter of 2024, Moody’s CRE forecast for asking…

Property Typecast: The self-storage industry shifts from surge to stability

While the industrial sector often gets the most recognition for being a pandemic-era darling, the self-storage industry has also enjoyed the benefits from changes in socioeconomic conditions that have bolstered demand for flexible storage solutions. As the pandemic took effect in early 2020, lockdowns and social distancing measures constrained consumers’ ability to spend money…

Medical Office Building Tenants Pay a Premium for These Markets

Medical office tenants seek densely-populated markets, said Jason Muss, president of Muss Development. Across the nation, demand for medical office buildings is persistent. As the population ages and the youngest of the Baby Boomers enter their 60s, the need for in-person health care is increasingly critical. But some markets in the U.S. are experiencing more demand than others…

Prologis Says Demand For Data Centers Is Boosting The Industrial Property Outlook Nationally

Prologis raised its annual earnings outlook despite a steep decline in revenue in the second quarter, saying that a dwindling pipeline of new warehouses and growing demand for artificial intelligence infrastructure should boost profitability. San Francisco-based Prologis, the world’s largest industrial property company, on Wednesday posted earnings attributable to common shareholders…

CNBC Ranks Florida’s Economy As The Best In U.S. In 2024

Florida has the best economy in the U.S. in 2024, according to a new CNBC ranking. The state added 240,000 new jobs last year, an increase of 2.5%, the report said. GDP increased 5% in 2023 to 1.28 trillion, among the fastest nationwide. New business applications grew even faster, up 9%. Florida’s budget and housing markets are also said to be balanced. The news network…

The Fed: Job openings-to-unemployment ratio; labor markets are in better balance

In the most recent FOMC press conference, on June 12, Chair Powell noted that the labor market “has come into better balance, with continued strong job gains and a low unemployment rate.” One measure of labor market tightness that illustrates this is the job openings-to-unemployment ratio, shown in the FRED graph above. The ratio is taken by dividing the total number…

Bank OZK Prepares For ‘Credit Deterioration’ While Growing CRE Loan Book

Bank OZK posted growing net charge-offs in the second quarter as its pool of nonperforming loans grew to $81M, its highest volume since at least 2009. But the Arkansas-based bank, which reported its second-quarter earnings on Wednesday and held its earnings call Thursday morning, continues to aggressively expand its real estate lending portfolio, the majority of which…

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July 24, 2024

Video: Marathon Asset Management CEO Bruce Richards on Rate Cut Possibilities, Commercial Real Estate, Election Effects, more…

In a recent conversation on Bloomberg Television, Bruce Richards, CEO, Chairman, and Co-Founder of Marathon Asset Management, delved into critical financial topics. The discussion covered a range of subjects, from U.S. economic trends to central bank policies, offering deep insights into the financial landscape and including potential effects on commercial real estate nationally.

Central Banking and Rate Cuts: A Strategic Outlook

Richards began by addressing the U.S. Federal Reserve (Fed) and its monetary policy. Market anticipation was leaning towards three rate cuts this year. Richards, however, held a more conservative view, predicting two rate cuts, with September being a probable date for the first adjustment. This perspective also encompassed the European Central Bank (ECB) and the Bank of England (BoE), both expected to reduce rates by 25 basis points each.

Richards emphasized the beneficial impact of lower rates on regional banks, suggesting that a positive yield curve would help lower borrowing costs, enhancing profitability. However, he cautioned that the commercial real estate sector might not experience immediate relief. The substantial debt load scheduled for refinancing in 2024 and 2025 poses significant challenges, despite potential financing cost reductions.

The Complexities of Real Estate and Long-Term Implications

Richards highlighted that the real estate market’s recovery would be protracted, spanning two to three years. The term structure of interest rates, particularly the ten-year rates, plays a pivotal role in determining property valuations and cap rates. Globally, the sector faces trillions in potential property transfers and creditor adjustments, marking a gradual and complex recovery process.

Central Bank Policies and Their Impact on Real Estate

Richards began by addressing the anticipated rate cuts by the U.S. Federal Reserve (Fed), European Central Bank (ECB), and Bank of England (BoE). While markets are pricing in multiple rate cuts, Richards predicted a more measured approach, expecting two cuts with the first likely in September. He emphasized that these adjustments would be beneficial for regional banks by lowering borrowing costs, thereby improving their financial health.

However, the commercial real estate sector presents a different picture. Richards cautioned that despite potential reductions in financing costs, the sector faces significant challenges due to the massive debt load scheduled for refinancing in 2024 and 2025. This impending wave of debt refinancing could strain the market, as many loans extended during the pandemic are now coming due.

Debt Loads and Market Recovery: A Protracted Process

Richards highlighted the complexity of the commercial real estate market’s recovery. The term structure of interest rates, especially the ten-year rates, plays a crucial role in determining property valuations and cap rates. As financing costs come down incrementally, the real estate market will still need to navigate the substantial debt burdens. This process, Richards estimated, could take two to three years, reflecting the sector’s inherent complexity and the sheer volume of outstanding debt.

Transmission Mechanisms and Fiscal Policies: Lessons for Real Estate

The conversation also touched on the effectiveness of the Fed’s monetary policy transmission mechanisms. Richards pointed out that previous efforts were hindered by delayed rate hikes and continued quantitative easing. In addition, substantial fiscal spending in the U.S. counteracted the Fed’s tightening measures, complicating the policy’s impact on the real estate market. Furthermore, the fixed-rate mortgage market in the U.S. shielded homeowners from the effects of rising rates, thereby reducing the anticipated stress on the housing market.

Commercial Real Estate Investment Opportunities Amidst Market Challenges

Despite these challenges, Richards identified significant investment opportunities within the commercial real estate sector. He projected a gradual path for rate reductions, with central banks adopting a more measured approach. This scenario could create a favorable environment for private credit and credit markets, which have become vital in providing liquidity when traditional banks pull back.

Addressing Sector Criticisms: Transparency and Regulation

Richards also addressed criticisms of the private credit sector, particularly regarding its role in the commercial real estate market. He acknowledged concerns about complex deal structures and liquidity issues but emphasized the importance of transparency and proper disclosure to investors. Richards argued that while private credit operates outside traditional banking regulations, it remains transparent to its investors and regulated by appropriate authorities like the SEC.

Transmission Mechanisms and Fiscal Policies: Lessons from the Past

Discussing the Fed’s monetary policy transmission mechanisms, Richards pointed out that previous efforts were hampered by delayed rate hikes and continued quantitative easing. Fiscal spending, particularly in the U.S., counteracted the Fed’s tightening measures, complicating the policy’s effectiveness. Additionally, the fixed-rate mortgage market in the U.S. insulated homeowners from rising rates, further diminishing the policy’s impact.

Political Dynamics and Economic Policies: A Comparative Analysis

The conversation shifted to U.S. politics and its influence on economic policies. Richards noted the contrasting approaches of the Biden administration and the Trump administration regarding tax rates, trade, tariffs, and regulations. He suggested that markets might respond more favorably to a less regulated environment, such as under a Trump administration, potentially benefiting sectors like oil and gas.

Opportunities Amidst Market Shifts: A Strategic Focus

Richards identified investment opportunities in private credit and credit markets, despite potential rate cuts. He projected a gradual path for rate reductions, emphasizing a more measured approach by central banks. He also noted the potential for private credit markets to thrive, given their significant role in providing liquidity when traditional banks pull back.

Addressing Sector Criticisms: Transparency and Regulation

Responding to criticisms of the private credit sector, Richards defended its role in filling the gap left by traditional banks. He acknowledged concerns about complex deal structures and liquidity issues but emphasized the importance of transparency and proper disclosure to investors. Richards argued that while private credit operates outside traditional banking regulations, it remains transparent to its investors and regulated by appropriate authorities like the SEC.

Jamie Dimon’s Criticisms and Market Dynamics

Richards also responded to comments made by Jamie Dimon, CEO of JPMorgan Chase. Dimon had expressed concerns about the private credit market, suggesting that it might lack the same discipline as traditional banking in terms of marking assets to market. Richards interpreted Dimon’s remarks as a reflection of the competitive landscape, where private credit has taken a significant market share from traditional banks.

Richards praised Dimon as a brilliant banker and CEO but suggested that his comments might stem from a desire to reclaim some of the market share that private credit has captured. Richards argued that private credit has played a crucial role in stepping up when banks have pulled back, providing much-needed liquidity and supporting the economy. He emphasized that competition between traditional banks and private credit is healthy for the market.

Wrapping it Up

In conclusion, Bruce Richards provided a nuanced and insightful analysis of the current financial landscape, highlighting both opportunities and challenges. His perspectives on central bank policies, real estate dynamics, political influences, and the role of private credit offered a comprehensive view of the intricate web of factors shaping the market.

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July 23, 2024

Miami Commercial Real Estate News July 17, 2024: Office Vacancy Drops, Rent Increases; Doral Warehouse Trades for $17M; 1,000-Unit MF Near Miami River Up for Review; More…

Revised Plans & Renderings Submitted For Brickell’s Massive 1 Southside Park

The developer building Brickell’s massive 1 Southside Park has filed revised plans and renderings with the county. The under-construction project includes a residential component known as Mercedes Benz Places. A foundation pour was recently completed for the first phase. The proposed changes include an increase in open space, increase in lot coverage (6%), reduction…

Unmasking the developers of South Florida’s biggest Live Local Act project

In South Florida real estate, self-promotion comes in hearty doses. For developers, generating buzz for themselves and their planned projects is as vital as scoring approvals and construction financing. Not so for Pablo Castro and Laura Tauber. The duo proposes a 3,233-unit apartment complex with six towers, ranging from 26 stories to 37 stories, in Miami-Dade County’s…

1,000-Unit Residential Project on Near Miami River Submitted To UDRB Review

Miami’s Urban Development Review Board is scheduled to hold a hearing today on a large residential complex. The multi-family development is proposed to be built in three phases on Delaware Parkway, about a block away from the Miami River. The buildings will rise 12 stories, and include a combined: 1,000 residential units 1,318 parking spaces The first two phases…

Sergio Pino dies by suicide during FBI home raid

Prominent South Florida homebuilder Sergio Pino was found dead from suicide at his Coral Gables home on Tuesday morning. Pino was being investigated by the Federal Bureau of Investigation amid a contentious divorce with his wife, who accused the developer of poisoning her. Pino, founder and president of Century Homebuilders Group and a major Republican donor…

Sergio Pino allegedly hired two crews to murder his estranged wife, law enforcement reveals

Before committing suicide on Tuesday, Sergio Pino allegedly hired a second team of hitmen to murder his estranged wife after the first crew failed to do the job, according to South Florida’s top federal law enforcement officials. The second group was also unsuccessful in killing Tatiana Pino, whose messy divorce from the deceased homebuilder was at the crux of Pino’s alleged…

345-Unit Downtown Miami Tower Advances With Site Work, Vertical Permit Filings

Plans for a 345-unit apartment tower in downtown Miami are advancing with multiple new construction permit filings. On July 3, applications were filed for both a site work permit and phased vertical permit at the Nexus Riverside Phase 1B site. Southern General Builders LLC is listed as the contractor on both permits. David Adler is listed as the qualifier for the contractor.

40-Story Flow Miami Worldcenter 2 Nearing Completion

The second tower at Flow Miami Worldcenter is now nearing completion. The first 43-story Flow tower opened at Worldcenter in 2019, with 444 apartments (previously named Caoba). The second tower began construction in late 2021 or early 2022, with a foundation pour in June 2022. Top off took place in Summer 2023. The new tower is 40 stories, and will have 411 residential units.

Plans Filed for 20-Story ‘Gamla Health District’ Residential Tower with Distinctive Geometric Facade in Miami

Development plans for a 20-story residential tower have been filed for 1355 Northwest 15th Street in Miami’s Health District. The project, named Gamla Health District, is designed by Behar Font & Partners and developed by Gamla Cedron HD, LLC, an affiliate of Miami-based Gamla Cedron Group led by Shaoul Mishal. Envisioned to rise approximately 232 feet, the building…

Plans Submitted For Gamla Health District With 224 Residential Units

Miami planners have received an application to build a residential project called Gamla Health District. The 20-story structure is proposed to include: 224 residential units (mostly 1-bedrooms, with some studios and 2-bedr0oms) Leasing office, co-working spaces, and other amenities 257 parking spaces, in a 7-level garage mostly hidden by residential units The top of…

55-Story Edgewater Tower Scheduled For UDRB Hearing

Plans have been resubmitted to Miami’s Urban Development Review Board for a 55-story multifamily tower in Edgewater following a redesign. The proposal had been filed with the UDRB last year, but withdrawn. According to The Real Deal, some residents of the neighboring Cite complex are opposed to a deal to build the tower. An demolition permit for an older condo…

Looser ban on subsidies for vast American Dream Mall advances

The county should loosen a 2018 ban on subsidies to develop multi-billion-dollar American Dream Mall in Northwest Miami-Dade to allow two forms of aid, a committee voted last week. The mayor’s office opposed loosening restrictions until developers meet requirements as the county asks exactly what is planned for the 82 acres that they got from the state…

Major Watson Island developments’ leases advance

Miami is drafting ballot language to put the future development of Watson Island to a public vote in November after commissioners were assured two deals will include an enhanced, city-wide benefits package. On July 11, the city commission unanimously authorized that two charter amendments be drafted and possibly proposed to voters this fall. If a majority of residents approve…

Providers jockey to offer Miami urban air taxi service

The race to introduce air taxis to Miami’s skyline is speeding up as one provider is targeting a 2026 launch and plans to buy 20 all-electric jets to make the futuristic vision a reality. Recent start-up and Miami-based advance air mobility operator UrbanLink announced plans in May to acquire the German-made Lilium electric vertical take-off and land aircraft, or eVTOL. The eVTOL…

New Deliveries Begin To Test Miami’s Office Success Story

Developers rushed to meet demand for trophy office space in Miami during the pandemic, with nearly 2M SF of space under construction at the end of 2023. The first of those projects are starting to come online, and they show that the surge in companies opening hubs in South Florida has meant uneven success for developers building new offices. Two of the three buildings delivering…

Miami International Airport, PortMiami plan cutting-edge trade amenity

PortMiami and Miami International Airport are partnering to increase trade and products that arrive in the US through South Florida by creating a state-of-the-art facility to sanitize incoming goods and provide cold storage for them. “We are expecting it to be highly innovative with technology and really be able to increase the products that come through here based…

Michael Lewis: Ignorance of the facts is no excuse to alter mall subsidy ban

County commissioners debated 90 minutes last week while dancing around key questions crucial to a final vote on an impactful decision – and they don’t seem to know the answers. They say they don’t know why predecessors six years earlier banned subsidies for American Dream Mall, which had been pitched as a $4 billion investment, later raised to $5 billion. If built as publicized…

Planned residences across from Douglas Park get thumbs down

A developer has proposed bringing 130 dwellings to a Miami neighborhood adjacent to one of the city’s most popular parks, and a city board turned thumbs down. The applicant is 2814/16 SW 37 LLC, owner-developer of a site at 3700 SW 28th St., across the street from Douglas Park. The project, Mosaic at Douglas, is designed as an eight-story multi-family building with 257,923…

UDRB to Review Plans for 39-Story Residential Tower at 2534 North Miami Avenue in Wynwood

Miami’s Urban Development Review Board has received an application for a 39-story multifamily residential tower at 2534 North Miami Avenue in Wynwood. The approximately 437-foot-tall building, proposed by 2534 N Miami Associates, LLC, an affiliate of New York-based Hidrock Properties led by Abraham J. Hidary, is designed by Arquitectonica and will feature landscape…

‘Sleek, Modern’ 39-Story Wynwood Tower Proposed Under Live Local Act

Plans have been filed for a new tower at 2534 North Miami Avenue in Wynwood. The project is being proposed under Florida’s new Live Local act, allowing developers to bypass some local zoning restrictions if they commit to build certain amounts of workforce housing. The proposed height is 39 stories, taller than other buildings in the area, thanks to Live Local. 2534 North Miami…

454-Unit Little River Tower Proposed Under Live Local Act

Plans have been filed for a new tower in Little River under Florida’s Live Local act. The recently passed law allows developers to bypass certain local zoning restrictions, including height and density, if they commit to building a percentage of units dedicated to workforce housing. The newly submitted tower is proposed to top off at 28 stories, or 321 feet above ground, and include…

California Firm Sells Doral Warehouse For $17 Million

The Goodman North America warehouse in Doral sold for $17.26 million. Goodman Doral 88th Court LLC, an affiliate of Irvine, California-based industrial firm Goodman North America, sold the 111,529-square-foot warehouse at 2100 N.W. 88th Court to Century Properties 2100 Doral LLC, managed by Ariel Chavez in Doral. Citibank provided a $17 million mortgage…

Proposed 55-Story Tower at 419 Northeast 19th Street in Miami Returns to UDRB for Review

Miami’s Urban Development Review Board has received another application for a 55-story tower at 419 Northeast 19th Street in Edgewater. The project, initially filed in October 2023, is scheduled for review on July 20 and has undergone several updates and modifications. The development team for this project includes architectural design by Fogarty Finger Architecture…

New Industrial Supply Attracts Steady Demand In Miami

More than 3.3M SF of new industrial space was delivered in the Miami market in Q2 2024, a wave of new speculative inventory that now totals 4.5M SF since the beginning of this year—an amount approaching last year’s total of more than 5M in new supply. This flood of warehouse space has been met by steady demand for new facilities fueled by positive demographic growth…

Construction to Start on 14 Roc Condo in 2025 at 125 NE 14th Street in Miami

GFO Investments through affiliate 14th Street Miami Investments LLC has filed plans for a 32-story tower in Miami-Dade County. The 14 Roc condo would offer 283 fully furnished condos, ranging from 410 to 964 square feet each, according to the South Florida Business Journal. Per BRG International, floorplans span from “sleek studios to spacious two-bedroom units…”

Mega-Project Planned on City-Owned Land in North Miami

Mega-projects are proliferating in the North Miami area. A joint venture known as Redwood is planning eight 18-story buildings that will encompass 2,193 residential units, 121,500 SF of commercial space and parking for 4,100 vehicles. The project would be built on about 39 acres of city-owned land in North Miami that includes 15-acre Claude Pepper Park, a community center…

South Florida retail rents, vacancies remain stable in second quarter

Retail landlords across South Florida had a steady ride for the first six months of this year, with vacancy rates in the low single digits amid some rent growth, according to a new report. Institutional investors also pumped up the tri-county retail market by going on a shopping center buying spree since the spring. Second quarter buyers included Pine Tree, a Northbrook, Illinois-based…

‘Naranja Grand’ Affordable Housing Community Tops Off In Southern Miami-Dade County

Housing Trust Group (HTG) recently celebrated a significant milestone with the topping off of Naranja Grand, a 320-unit affordable housing community in southern Miami-Dade County. In partnership with Miami Lakes-based Elite Equity Development, Naranja Grand will serve income-qualifying seniors and families across two eight-story buildings. The design and construction…

Demolition Permit Issued for 1401 Brickell Avenue, Paving Way for 40-Story ‘Santander Tower’

A demolition permit has been issued for the 1401 Brickell property in Miami, signaling the beginning of redevelopment for the site. Although plans for a new tower are in place, a new construction permit has yet to be filed. The issued permit outlines the total demolition of 236,877 square feet at an estimated cost of $5,890,000. The BG Group is listed as the contractor responsible…

SB, Hazelton revive controversial 55-story Edgewater resi tower

SB Development and Hazelton Capital Group have revived a controversial proposal to build a 55-story residential tower on a 0.3-acre lot in Edgewater. The Miami Urban Development Review Board will consider the project for a second time at its meeting on Wednesday. SB and Hazelton, both based in New York, first went in front of the board in October and withdrew their application…

Office asking rents rose across South Florida in second quarter

In South Florida, the median rent for office space rose in the second quarter, even as vacancies hovered above 10 percent, according to a new report. The office market was propped up by the high-octane performance of submarkets in Miami’s Brickell neighborhood and downtown West Palm Beach, where a concentration of new trophy buildings got the most attention from…

Office Vacancy Drops as Rents Increase in Miami

The national outlook for the U.S. office sector does not look bright, with the grim reality setting in that a nationwide vacancy rate of 20%—or worse—is likely to prevail for the foreseeable future. According to Moody’s, the 20.1% office vacancy rate notched in the U.S. in Q2 2024 is the overture of a swan dive that will see office availability continue rise through the end of 2026.

Brightline Details How It Will Increase Seat Capacity 75% To Meet Demand

Brightline has revealed further details on a plan to dramatically increase capacity, in a recent report to investors. A total of 30 new train cars will be put into service over the next year, increasing seat capacity by 75%. The 30 cars will be split into three separate deliveries of ten cars each. Each set of ten additional train cars increases monthly seating capacity by approximately 75,000…

Developer Launches 32-Story Downtown Miami Condo 14 ROC, Completion 2027

GFO Investments is launching sales for a new condo tower called 14 ROC. The 32-story development will include 283 units allowing flexible rentals. Units will range from 410 to 964 square feet, with prices starting at $495,000. RSP Architects is designing the tower. Interiors are by March and White Design. Landscape is by Urban Robot Associates. Cervera Real Estate…

Demolition Permit Issued At 1401 Brickell Site Where 765-Foot Tower Planned

A demolition permit has been issued for the 1401 Brickell property. A new tower is planned on the property, but there doesn’t appear to be a new construction permit filed for it yet. According to the newly issued permit, total demolition of 236,877 square feet is planned, at an estimated cost of $5,890,000. The BG Group is listed as the contractor. The demolition permit was first applied…

North Miami approves Redwood’s 2,200-unit apartment project at Claude Pepper Park, adjacent land

Redwood Dev Co scored approval for its 2,193-unit apartment complex in North Miami, marking one of the largest projects on tap in the western side of the city. The North Miami City Council voted 4-0 to approve the development of eight 18-story buildings, as well as 121,500 square feet of commercial space and 4,114 parking spaces. The project would rise on a 27.7-acre site…

Dryrun Demolition Permit Filed At Brickell Site Where 90-Story 1,049′ Tower Planned

A dry run total demolition permit was filed this morning for the Brickell site where a 90-story supertall condo hotel is planned. Since it is just a dry run, there is no contractor attached. A permit expediter is listed as a contact. There is also a separate permit pending to install a fence at the property. In April, JDS Development Group completed the purchase of the property for $61.2M…

Fortune scores $36M predevelopment loan for Casa Tua condo tower

Edgardo Defortuna’s Fortune International Group closed on the development site of its planned Ora by Casa Tua mixed-use condo tower and secured financing for the project. Brickell-based Fortune acquired the garage and land at 1210 Brickell Avenue in Miami in a deal that values the site at about $70 million. The firm already owned the air rights, so it paid about $30 million for the land…

Miami Has Become One Of Commercial Real Estate’s Most Important Job Markets

The days of lockdowns and Zoom happy hours may be over, but the pandemic’s long tail has created permanent shifts in real estate demand, boosting Miami’s profile as the firms that opened offices in Miami begin to settle in and expand. The arrival of those out-of-state businesses has helped push Miami into a new echelon of American real estate job markets. The city captured 5.3%…

Industrial asking rents soar in Miami-Dade and Broward, stay flat in Palm Beach County

Warehouse landlords are still in the driver’s seat, as median asking rents soared for most of South Florida’s industrial market in the second quarter. Industrial landlords in Miami-Dade and Broward counties experienced rent growth of 9 percent and 17 percent, respectively, in the second quarter, compared to the same period of last year, according to a recent JLL report.

$69.9 Million Refinancing Secured for 4000 Ponce/The Collection in Coral Gables

Miami-based real estate development firm CMC Group has obtained a $69.9 million loan from City National Bank of Florida (CNB) for the refinancing of 4000 Ponce/The Collection, a nine-story Class-A mixed-use office and retail development in Coral Gables. Developed by CMC Group Founder Ugo Colombo in 2002, the Mediterranean-style building is also home to The Collection…

CMC Group Lands $70M Refi for Coral Gables Office Building

The 190,000-square-foot building also features The Collection, a luxury car dealership, along with 32,000 square feet of retail space. Image courtesy of CommercialEdge CMC Group has obtained $69.9 million in refinancing for 4000 Ponce, a 190,000-square-foot office building in Coral Gables, Fla., a Miami submarket, according to REBusinessOnline. City National Bank of Florida…

Ugo Colombo’s CMC scores $70M refinancing for Coral Gables mixed-use complex

Ugo Colombo’s CMC Group landed a $69.9 million refinancing for a Coral Gables mixed-use complex anchored by The Collection exotic car dealership. City National Bank of Florida provided the five-year, floating-rate loan to the CMC affiliate that owns 4000 Ponce at 200 Bird Road, a press release states. A JLL team led by Paul Stasaitis and Paul Adams arranged the loan on…

Lease roundup: Medical spa on tap at River Landing, a sun-protective clothing company moves HQ from Minneapolis to Wynwood

River Landing Shops & Residences, one of the largest completed projects on the Miami River, scored two new tenants. Famous Footwear will open in the third quarter in a 5,100-square-foot space, according to a River Landing news release and a spokesperson. ProsperIV, which offers IV therapy, vitamin injections and other health and wellness services, leased 1,000 square feet…

Structure Capital drops $19M for Cooper City plaza, as South Florida retail deals flow

Diversified Realty Development sold the majority of the retail space at the Shoppes at Monterra Commons in Cooper City for $18.5 million, as South Florida retail deals continue to flow. An entity led by Job and Rocio de Ojeda of Fort Lauderdale-based Structure Capital bought the buildings at 3500, 3700, 3800 and 3900 North University Drive from Deerfield Beach-based…

What’s Behind Miami’s Hot Studio Condo Market?

In recent years, the Miami condo market has seen a dramatic rise in studio apartments. Once a rarity, these compact living spaces are now one of the most sought-after commodities. As starting prices for new construction condos in the city continue to soar and units under $1 million are increasingly scarce, studio condos are becoming an attractive and affordable alternative. Maria Elena…

Wills, partners buy Frisbie’s Islamorada resort for $72M

Frisbie Group sold a resort in Islamorada in the Florida Keys to the Wills Companies and its partners for $72 million. The buyers plan to sell the 22 villas included within the oceanfront resort, called Islands of Islamorada, as single-family homes and maintain the eight-key hotel, according to a press release. The Wills Companies and its partners will continue to manage the individually…

Nuveen sells 197-unit apartment complex in Plantation for $49M –– a 5% discount from a decade ago

Nuveen Real Estate sold a 197-unit apartment complex in Plantation for $49.4 million, marking a 5 percent discount from the firm’s purchase price a decade ago. New York-based Clarion Partners bought The Manor in Plantation from New York-based Nuveen Real Estate, according to records and real estate database Vizzda. The deal breaks down to $250,508 per unit.

Pompano Beach Development Review Committee to Consider Plans for 303-Unit ‘Atlantic One’

Gainesville-based Collier Cos. has plans for a residential housing complex in Pompano Beach. If approved by the city’s Development Review Committee on Wednesday, Atlantic One would comprise three five-story buildings, along with a one-story building and standalone clubhouse. In total, the venture requires just over 357,000 square feet of new construction.

Supplements mogul Darielle Singerman cashes out of industrial building at Boca Raton’s Park of Broken Sound

Supplements mogul Darielle Singerman sold an industrial building at Boca Raton’s Park of Broken Sound for $18.7 million. An entity managed by Serge Abecassis in Boca Raton bought the 78,024-square-foot warehouse at 701 Park of Commerce Boulevard completed in 2001, records and real estate database Vizzda show. The buyer also obtained a $11.5 million mortgage…

399-Unit ‘Oculina’ Calls for 1.34 Million Square Feet of New Construction at 3700 Broadway in Riviera Beach

A long-closed Winn-Dixie in Riviera Beach could soon be replaced with two 25-story towers connected by a six-story podium. Oculina would comprise 1.34 million square feet of new construction, offering nearly 400 condos ranging from studio to three-bedroom condos. According to the South Florida Business Journal, the homes’ square footage would measure 1,550…

Ronny Finvarb sells 128-key Courtyard hotel in Jupiter for $21M

Developer Ronny Finvarb sold the Courtyard Palm Beach Jupiter hotel for $20.9 million, marking a continuing flow of hospitality deals in South Florida. An entity tied to JW Marriott Family Enterprises bought the four-story, 128-key hotel at 4800 Main Street from Miami-based Finvarb Group, according to records and real estate database Vizzda. The purchasing entity is led…

Steve Ross launches firm focused on West Palm investments, steps back from Related

Billionaire Steve Ross is now fully committed to South Florida. Following four years of hefty investments and development in Palm Beach County, mostly in West Palm Beach, Ross stepped back from New York-based Related Companies and carved out the firm’s Related Southeast division into a separate firm that he will lead. Related Southeast is now rebranded as Related Ross…

Brian Tuttle hit with $38M foreclosure on his Main Street mixed-use project in Royal Palm Beach

Developer Brian Tuttle was hit with a foreclosure tied to $38.4 million in loans for his planned Main Street mixed-use project in Royal Palm Beach. The lender of three loans issued in 2021 claims that Tuttle and his affiliates, through which he owns the Main Street development site, failed to pay the full principal and interest due when the mortgages matured in December…

Investors more positive about CRE market nationally environment than last quarter

Real estate investor sentiment is up by 16% quarter over quarter, according to a new report from RCN Capital. The nationwide lender, which specializes in investor loans, maintains an Investor Sentiment Index (ISI) jointly with CJ Patrick Company, tracking market outlook based on four questions in a quarterly survey. According to respondents to the summer iteration…

Yardi: Apartment performance nationally subdued but ‘encouraging’ in first half

Apartment performance was solid in June, contributing to a moderately positive first half of 2024 that Yardi Matrix described as “encouraging” given present market conditions. Average advertised asking rents nationwide grew to $1,739 in June, up a steady but unexceptional 0.6% year over year. Those yearly gains have been receding since March, when that figure…

Retail Real Estate Buyers Vie To Thaw ‘Frozen’ U.S. Sales Market

The U.S. retail market is currently on a long stretch of rock-solid performance at the property level. The national vacancy rate is at a healthy 4.1 percent, according to first-quarter 2024 research from CoStar Group. This comes one quarter after a stellar 4 percent vacancy rate at year-end 2023. What’s more is net store openings are on pace to be positive for the third consecutive year…

United State Office Sector Awaits Rate Relief on Heels of Positive CPI Report

Highlights: June’s Consumer Price Index signaled further disinflationary progress with the odds for a 25-bps September rate cut increasing to over 85%, according the CME FedWatch Tool. Shelter inflation which has been stubbornly sticky on the downside rose at its slowest monthly pace since August 2021. Interest rate cuts can’t come soon enough for the office sector…

GenAI powers new early warning alert as risks and uncertainty surround commercial real estate

Moody’s introduces capability to determine when breaking news may impact lender and investor portfolios What if news broke that a major retail or office tenant – one that occupied a massive amount of space across several buildings in your portfolio – suddenly shuttered all of its locations? After the initial shock, the next step would be to assess the impacts. Before, this was an…

Video: PwC Real Estate Deals Leader Tim Bodner Discusses US Deals 2024 Midyear Outlook

The latest episode of America’s Commercial Real Estate Show  provides an in-depth look at the current state and future outlook of the commercial real estate market. This episode features Tim Bodner, a partner at PWC and its Real Estate Deals Team Leder, who offers expert insights from the US Deals 2024 Midyear Report. Note that this discussion is national in scope…

Demand for Green Buildings Outpaces Supply

Energy efficiency continues to be on the mind for many, as air conditioners and operating costs rise simultaneously during ongoing summer heat waves. I’ve written before about the integration of emissions reductions law information into Moody’s CRE platform to help clients track the evolving regulatory landscape, various incentives and financing programs for energy…

The Fed: Recent Trends in Banks’ Commercial Real Estate Exposure

Due to societal and economic changes triggered by the COVID-19 pandemic, segments of the commercial real estate (CRE) sector have increasingly become the focus of policymakers and analysts concerned with financial stability. More specifically, the shift to work from home has challenged the office segment, while changes in retail trade—such as a ramp up in e-commerce…

Commercial real estate succession planning guide

It’s never too early for multifamily investors to start real estate succession planning. In fact, “you can’t do it early enough,” said David Diggs, Senior Regional Sales Manager at Chase. So whether you’re close to transferring your business to family or just want to be well-prepared to one day transition leadership of your family real estate business, it’s a good time to take steps…

Podcast: Investment Trends in Focus; Quarterly Roundtable Q3 2024

Our panel of experts, led by chief research officer, Ashley Lester, takes stock of global markets as we enter the back half of 2024. Ashley and team examine the short- and long-term issues affecting investors, including the ever changing geopolitical landscape, the continued impact of AI and the role of private markets in the carbon transition.

The Fed’s Beige Book: Economic Activity Mostly Unchanged

Economic activity across the Southeast was largely unchanged during late May and June compared to the previous six-week period, according to the Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta’s new Beige Book of anecdotal reports from business contacts. Patterns at work for the past couple of months continued: Labor markets and wage pressures eased further, and worker availability…

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July 17, 2024

Video: PwC Real Estate Deals Leader Tim Bodner Discusses US Deals 2024 Midyear Outlook

The latest episode of America’s Commercial Real Estate Show  provides an in-depth look at the current state and future outlook of the commercial real estate market. This episode features Tim Bodner, a partner at PWC and its Real Estate Deals Team Leder, who offers expert insights from the US Deals 2024 Midyear Report. Note that this discussion is national in scope, not isolated to Miami or South Florida.

Key Insights from the Conversation:

Capital Markets and Distressed Sales
Tim Bodner highlights that despite initial concerns, the level of distress in the commercial real estate market has not reached the anticipated levels. Distressed sales activity stood at 3.9% in Q1 2024, up from around 2% in previous quarters. This increase is primarily attributed to a significant retail deal. In comparison, distressed sales during the peak of the financial crisis were about 20%. Bodner emphasizes that the current market is different, with creative solutions being employed to manage distress.

Loan Modifications and Extensions
The conversation reveals that a substantial portion of loan maturities in 2023 were extended to 2024, with a higher volume of loans maturing this year. Lenders and market participants are working together to navigate these challenges, aiming for refinancing in more favorable market conditions.

Private Capital’s Role
Private capital, particularly from insurance companies and alternative asset managers, is expected to play a significant role in real estate finance as traditional financial institutions pull back. Despite increased activity in the CMBS market, its proportion relative to the past decade remains small.

Future Market Expectations

Distress Levels and Market Response
Bodner anticipates that while distressed transactions will continue, especially in the office sector, they will not reach the levels seen during the financial crisis. Market participants are more prepared to manage and mitigate distress, focusing on creative solutions and long-term stability.

Investor Strategies
Investors are increasingly focused on operational efficiency and strategic positioning in response to higher rates, geopolitical uncertainties, and evolving market conditions. The emphasis is on having the right skills, technology, and organizational structure to thrive in this new environment.

Non-Traditional Real Estate Investments
The scope of investable real estate assets is broadening, with significant interest in alternative asset classes such as student housing, senior housing, data centers, and mixed-use developments. There is also a notable shift towards infrastructure investments, driven by government stimulus programs and the growing importance of resilient supply chains.

Impact of Political and Economic Factors

Elections and Policy Changes
The impact of elections on commercial real estate is a topic of interest. While elections typically introduce uncertainty, the primary concern is their effect on market confidence and the pace of capital deployment. Bodner notes that ongoing discussions about tax policy changes, such as limitations on 1031 exchanges, could have significant implications for the market.

Inflation and Affordability
Inflation is gradually decreasing, but affordability remains a critical issue. This challenge is expected to persist, influencing consumer behavior and investment strategies. Bodner points out that the market’s response to inflation and affordability issues will be crucial in shaping the future landscape of commercial real estate.

Opportunities Amid Challenges

Creative Financing and Strategic Acquisitions
In the face of market volatility, real estate professionals are getting more creative with financing solutions, including seller financing, joint ventures, and private placements. This creativity is essential for navigating the current environment and capitalizing on opportunities.

Long-Term Value in Office and Retail Sectors
Despite current challenges, there are opportunities for strategic investments in office and retail sectors. The potential for acquiring properties at significantly reduced prices presents a unique opportunity for investors willing to take a patient and strategic approach.

Conclusion

The mid-year 2024 outlook for commercial real estate is one of cautious optimism, with significant opportunities for those who can navigate the complexities of the market. The conversation with Tim Bodner underscores the importance of creativity, strategic thinking, and adaptability in leveraging the evolving landscape of commercial real estate.

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July 15, 2024

Miami Commercial Real Estate News July 10, 2024: Homestead 1200-Unit MXU Dev Site Trades for $65M; 2,200 Unit Dev Proposed for North Miami; More…

DR Horton drops $65M for 97 acres in Homestead

Homebuilding giant D.R. Horton dropped $65 million for 97 acres of Homestead farmland for its planned Sandero Landing community. Records show D.R. Horton bought the site at Southwest 328th Street and Southeast 6th Street from the Alger family, led by Richard Alger. The Algers are longtime Homestead farmers, and their Alger Farms specializes in growing…

D.R. Horton Buys Land For 1,200-Unit Project

D.R. Horton paid $65M to assemble 97 acres of agricultural land across 11 parcels in Homestead where it is planning 1,170 residential units and 216K SF of commercial space, according to records from property data platform Vizzda. D.R. Horton’s 97-acre plan in Homestead would create a village with a grocery store, fitness center and urgent care facility. John and Richard…

CMC Group Obtains $69.9M Loan for Refinancing of Coral Gables Mixed-Use Development

Locally based CMC Group has obtained a $69.9 million loan for the refinancing for 4000 Ponce, a mixed-use development located in Coral Gables, a western suburb of Miami. City National Bank of Florida provided the loan to CMC, whose affiliate Ugo Colombo developed the nine-story project in 2002. Paul Stasaitis, Paul Adams and Nicole Barba of JLL arranged the five-year…

Miami-Dade plans for future with 30-member Vision Council

County Commission Chairman Oliver G. Gilbert III wants to create the equivalent of a United Nations of Miami-Dade organizations – from labor, business, health, education, culture, recreation, government – to plot a positive course for the county’s next 30 years. Mr. Gilbert called for the creation of a 30X30 Vision Council before the Policy Council & Intergovernmental Affairs…

Miami-Dade Courthouse up for auction at $52 million plus

The old Dade County Courthouse at 73 W Flagler St., which is still in daily use by the county, is being put on the market. Minimum bid: $52.3 million. Not a bad profit for a building that cost $4 million when it opened in 1928. The historic, 28-story building is being sold “As Is,” according to a legal ad that appeared in Miami Today last week. It was added to the U.S. National Register…

Downtown Miami Courthouse For Sale, Bids Start At $52.3M

Downtown Miami’s Dade County Courthouse is being sold. Courthouse operations have been active in the building for nearly 100 years, but will soon move to a new building under construction across the street. Miami-Dade will be accepting bids for the original courthouse building, which are due September 4. The minimum bid is listed at $52.3m. Buyers will need to comply…

Review boards reject plans for tallest Wynwood residential tower

A plan to build the tallest residential tower in the Wynwood Arts District has been rejected by two City of Miami review groups. The site is at the northwest corner of North Miami Avenue and Northwest 21st Street. Wynwood Interest LLC owns 2110 N Miami Ave., 2118 N Miami Ave., 2134 N Miami Ave., 2135 NW Miami Court, 2129 NW Miami Court, and 2101 NW Miami Court.

Sears site beside Gables targeted for 1,050 residences in three buildings

A developer has plans to redevelop the Sears store property in Miami’s Coral Gate neighborhood, bringing new retail and affordable housing to a high-profile area. RK Associates #5 Inc LLC proposes three new eight-story mixed-use buildings offering 1,050 residential units and related amenities, paseos, courtyards, and parking for about 1,924 vehicles for property at 3655…

Whale of 39-story Park West residences planned

A prominent development firm is planning one whale of a project for Miami’s Park West neighborhood, with a giant whale sculpture crashing through glass and steel anchoring the new tower. Owner-developer Property Markets Group (PMG) has proposed a 39-story mixed-use building, West Eleventh Residences, containing 670 residential units, including micro-size units…

176-Unit Apartment Building Now Rising One Block Away From Brickell

A construction crane for the Gallery at Marti Park apartment building is now in place. The 12-story development is being built just a block away from Brickell. Groundbreaking for the project took place in January. Around half of the units will be normal market-rate apartments. The remainder of apartments will be targeted towards low-income seniors under the Rental….

Former Virgin Hotel Site In Brickell In Contract, Up To 300 Units Planned

The Brickell property where a Virgin Hotel was once planned is now in contract to another developer, according to The Real Deal. Prosper Group is said to be in contract on the property for $40M. Closing is expected in the first half of 2026. A condo-hotel is likely to be built. The developer will partner with another developer to build up to 300 units, with a vision to build…

Another one: PMG, partners launch short-term rental condo project in Overtown

The 22-story project at 105 Northwest Eleventh Terrace, called One West Twelve Residences, will include a ground-floor restaurant and lounge led by celebrity chef Marcus Samuelsson, Simkins said. Sales launched about a month ago, and the 372-unit development is more than 50 percent presold, a spokesperson said. It adds to an expanding pipeline of short-term rental-friendly…

First major revamp of Miami-Dade’s Better Bus Network coming

Miami-Dade’s bus network is expected to get its first major revamp Nov. 25 as the transit system tries to quell loud rider complaints on a handful of specific routes. Introduction of the Better Bus Network routes and schedules Nov. 13, 2023, was geared to provide faster and more-frequent trips on the most heavily traveled of the county’s 70 routes by spreading bus stops farther…

Site and Financing Secured for 77-Story ‘ORA by Casa Tua’ in Miami’s Brickell Financial District

Miami-based developer Fortune International Group has acquired a 46,373-square-foot site at 1210 Brickell Ave and secured a $36,080,000 pre-development loan for the ORA by Casa Tua project. The loan, provided by Amerant Bank, marks a significant step forward in development. Fortune International Group purchased the site from Miami-based Patagonian…

Developer Completes Acquisition of Site for 77-Story Brickell Tower Ora by Casa Tua

Fortune International Group has completed the acquisition of the site where it will build the 77-story Ora by Casa Tua. A pre-development loan has also been issued. The 46,373-square-foot site at 1210 Brickell Ave was acquired from Miami-based Patagonian Investment Internacional LLC. The developer can now further the development and ready the site for construction.

Developer proposes 2,200-unit multi-tower project in North Miami

Redwood Dev Co is proposing a massive mixed-use development in North Miami. The phased project calls for 2,193 residential units, 121,500 square feet of commercial space and more than 4,100 parking spaces across eight 18-story buildings, plans filed with the city show. Kobi Karp Architecture & Interior Design is designing the project, which is proposed for nearly 39 acres…

Nearly 2,200 Apartments Across 8 Towers Proposed At North Miami Park

The North Miami City Commission is considering a proposal to build 2,190 apartments as part of a redevelopment of Claude Pepper Park. The proposal, from Miami Beach-based Redwood Dev Co, includes eight buildings designed by Kobi Karp rising from 11 acres adjacent to the park. The project would include 121K SF of retail space and 4,114 parking spaces. Commissioners are…

Developer Could Demolish Harry Cain Building in Downtown Miami

Downtown Miami’s 154-unit Harry Cain building could be demolished, according to a Miami-Dade agenda item. Related Urban Development Group would be selected to demolish the building, if commissioners approve the item. The developer had been awarded a ground lease for the property in 2013, and competitively selected to redevelop the County property, the memo…

Codina JV strikes another Hialeah industrial deal with Mormon church, sells warehouse for $56M

Seven months after purchasing a Hialeah industrial portfolio from a Codina Partners-led joint venture, The Church of Jesus Christ of Latter-day Saints is hungry for more. An affiliate of Property Reserve, the Salt Lake City, Utah-based church’s real estate investment arm, paid $55.8 million for a recently completed 232,620-square-foot warehouse at 4141 West 91st Place within…

MGM Construction Group’s Florida Tower on Target for Fall Debut

With the pouring for levels 1 to 13 underway at the 25-story West Tower of Oasis Hallandale mixed-use luxury condominium project in Hallandale Beach, Fla., MGM Construction Group expects to top out the 250-unit building by late fall. It will be the first mixed-use development in Hallandale Beach, which is about 20 miles north of downtown Miami and near Aventura, Fla.

Demolition Now Underway At Site Where 41-Story Hub Miami Planned

Demolition has commenced at the site where the 41-story Hub Miami tower is planned. A 17-year-old partially built shell of a building is coming down to make way for the new Hub tower. The shell now being demolished was planned as an office tower called Logik, which halted construction around 2007. The new Hub Miami tower is planned to include 306 condos and 245k sf…

Foreclosure auction averted: R&B Realty avoids losing Gateway at Wynwood with bankruptcy filing

R&B Realty narrowly stalled a foreclosure auction for its fairly new mixed-use building in Miami’s Wynwood neighborhood. On Monday, two R&B entities that own Gateway at Wynwood at 2916 North Miami Avenue, filed for Chapter 11 in U.S. Bankruptcy Court in New York, court records show. The 14-story office and retail building, which R&B completed in 2022, was scheduled…

Photo: First Fully Formed Arch At Downtown Miami’s Signature Bridge

A photo shows the first fully formed arch at Downtown Miami’s Signature Bridge, which is under construction. The top of the arch was recently poured, with forms now removed to reveal the shape of the structure. As part of the project, six arches are being built as a design feature next to the overpasses passing through Miami’s urban core. The arches will range in height from 180 feet…

FAA Permits Filed for 848 Brickell, Requesting Approval for 764-Foot Tower

Key International and Sterling Bay have filed for FAA permits for 848 Brickell, a 51-story Class A office and retail tower in Miami’s Brickell neighborhood. Designed by Skidmore, Owings, & Merrill (SOM), the project’s permits were filed on June 27, 2024, and are currently under review, with the status showing “work in progress.” The structure is planned to reach 764 feet…

Planned Brickell Office Tower Submitted To FAA At 764 Feet

Plans have been filed with the Federal Aviation Administration for a commercial tower on Brickell Avenue. The filing was made on June 27. Multiple heights were submitted for the new tower, which is named 848 Brickell. The tallest proposed height filed is 764 feet above ground, or 775 feet above sea level. Plans for the new 51-story tower were originally submitted to Miami-Dade..

New Eight-Story Affordable Housing Project Planned at 13841 SW 252nd Street in Miami-Dade’s Princeton Community Urban Center

An Administrative Site Plan Review (ASPR) application was submitted on July 1 for Princeton Manor, an affordable housing development aimed at providing 132 new rental apartments. The project is planned for an eight-story high-rise building at 13841 Southwest 252nd Street within the Princeton Community Urban Center in Florida. Princeton Manor is being developed…

FAA Approves Permits for 57-Story ‘M-Tower’ at 56 SW 1st Street in Downtown Miami

The Federal Aviation Administration (FAA) has approved permits for M-Tower, a mixed-use development planned for downtown Miami. The permits allow for a structure to reach 605 feet above ground or 615 feet above mean sea level. These permits were approved on July 2, 2024, and will expire on January 1, 2026. M-Tower, developed by Lions Group NYC and Fortis Design + Build…

UHealth expansion? University of Miami scoops up Pinecrest Macy’s for $40M

The University of Miami scooped up the Macy’s furniture store in Pinecrest for $40 million, signifying a potential expansion of its medical center network. UM bought the one-story, 78,000-square-foot building at 13251 South Dixie Highway from New York-based Macy’s, according to records and real estate database Vizzda. Completed in 1972, the building is on a 4.6-acre site.

J.P. Morgan-Advised Investors Land $148M Miami Refi for Gio Midtown

Institutional investors advised by J.P. Morgan Asset Management have secured a $147.7 million five-year, fixed-rate loan from PGIM Real Estate to refinance Gio Midtown, a 32-story, 447-unit luxury mixed-use property in midtown Miami. PGIM Real Estate provided the loan through its core debt financing platform. Tom Goodsite, managing director, financing, at PGIM Real Estate…

Magellan lands $148M refi for Midtown Miami mixed-use tower

Magellan Development Group and its partners scored a $147.7 million refinancing for a 32-story mixed-use tower in Midtown Miami. PGIM Real Estate, the global asset management arm of Prudential, provided the fixed-rate loan for Gio Midtown at 3101 Northeast First Avenue, according to a press release. Chicago-based Magellan, Miami real estate investor…

Future of Downtown Miami; An Interview with Miami DDA

To materialize its vision of creating a world-class, inclusive, and safe city, Miami DDA leads a variety of public-private investment initiatives that will help build a more resilient and sustainable Downtown Miami, by: Improving and expanding the city’s infrastructure with additions such as the Signature Bridge that will help ease traffic bottlenecks around Downtown Miami…

Kimco Proposes 282-Unit Apartment Complex at 2609 N 26th Avenue in Hollywood

An affiliate of New York-based Kimco hopes to get the greenlight for a residential venture in the Oakwood Plaza redevelopment project in Hollywood. The complex, which would take shape on a vacant 2.42-acre plot, would measure eight stories above grade and offer 282 apartments. The South Florida Business Journal reports that homes would measure 448 to 1,350 square feet…

From events to warehouses: BBX, FRP will redevelop Davie’s Signature Grand

Signature Grand, a prominent venue in Davie that’s hosted weddings, galas, homecomings, politicians and political party events, will be replaced with an industrial park. BBX Logistics Properties and FRP Development bought the building at 6900 State Road 84 and an adjacent parking lot, with plans to redevelop the 11.3-acre site with a pair of warehouses spanning 182k sf…

Mixed-Use Project Proposal in Downtown Pompano Beach Submitted for Review

An application for a mixed-use project in Downtown Pompano, known as Patagonia, has been submitted for review by the city’s Development Review Committee on July 3. The project, proposed by the Pompano Beach Community Redevelopment Agency (CRA) in collaboration with developers Frank Gotsman of Hadar Homes and Invest Capital Group under the ICG CGP 58…

Fort Lauderdale’s DRC to Consider Plans For 7-Story Residential Development ‘New Hope II’

An application has been submitted to Fort Lauderdale’s Development Review Committee (DRC) for New Hope Rentals II, a 7-story residential development by LandAmerica Development Corporation under the New Hope Development Corp. The project, located on an 11,100-square-foot site at the northeast corner of NW 6th Street and NW 14th Avenue in Fort Lauderdale’s…

Mystery buyer acquires Coral Springs shopping center for $20M, amid flurry of retail sales

Palm Beach real estate investor Beverlee Raymond sold a Coral Springs shopping center for $20.4 million to a mystery buyer. An entity managed by Raymond, CEO of Palm Beach-based Extraordinary Charities, sold Plaza at Royal Palm at 10299 Royal Palm Boulevard to a Boca Raton-based entity whose authorized representative is Rocco Labella, a Hackensack, New Jersey-based…

Bridge sells office complex in Sunrise for $49M –– a 34% discount

Bridge Investment Group sold the Sawgrass Technology Park in Sunrise for $49 million, marking a 34 percent discount from its purchase price five years ago. North Miami-based IMC Equity Group and investor Alan Lipton bought the 515,000-square-foot office campus at 1601-1699 Northwest 136th Avenue from Salt Lake City, Utah-based Bridge, according to records and real estate…

Golf course redevelopment: 13th Floor plans 335 homes at Tamarac’s closed Woodlands Country Club

After a seven-year effort to redevelop Woodlands Country Club in Tamarac, 13th Floor Homes bought the closed golf course and plans to start construction this year. The firm paid $14 million for the roughly 270-acre golf course at 4600 Woodlands Boulevard from ClubLink US Corporation, a subsidiary of King City, Ontario-based TWC Enterprises, according to records and real…

S2 Development converting Dania Beach apartment complex into condos

S2 Development bought a recently completed Dania Beach apartment complex and plans to sell the units as condos. An affiliate of Aventura-based S2, led by principals J. Claudio Stivelman and Marc Schmulian, paid $36.7 million for the 99-year ground lease to Atlantica at Dania Beach, records and real estate database Vizzda show. The buyer of the 124-unit garden-style…

Milestone drops $112M for Delray Beach apartment complex, amid flurry of South Florida multifamily deals

Milestone Group bought a 488-unit apartment complex in Delray Beach for $111.6 million, amid a continuing flurry of South Florida multifamily investment sales. Milestone bought the Axis Delray Beach at 1495 Spring Harbor Drive from Bainbridge Companies, according to records and real estate database Vizzda. The deal breaks down to $228,770 per unit.

Jeff Greene hit with $4M-plus lawsuit tied to One West Palm project

Jeff Greene allegedly micro-managed work at his unfinished One West Palm project, creating significant delays and friction with a general contractor that is now seeking more than $4 million in damages, a recent lawsuit states. Kast Construction sued Greene’s entity, 1370 South Ocean, developing the $300 million mixed-use complex at 550 South Quadrille Boulevard in downtown…

It Is Not All About Insurance: Navigating Through Major Expenses for Multifamily Properties 

In the dynamic landscape of commercial real estate (CRE), multifamily properties stand as a cornerstone, drawing significant attention from investors for their potential for steady cash flows and appreciation. However, the profitability and valuation of these investments are intricately tied to the effective revenue growth and management of expense line items. The average operating…

Labor Market Continues to Gradually Moderate

Highlights: Despite the uptick in May’s job openings which increased to 8.14 million, the labor market continues to normalize with the ratio of job openings per unemployed, for example, nearly at parity with its 2019 average.ADP’s private sector employment increased by 150,000 jobs in June while pay gains for job-stayers rose by 4.9% YoY – the slowest pace of growth since…

Small Bay Market Emerges As Strong Industrial Performer

Over the past 4 years, 100 million square feet of small-bay industrial space has been added to the market, according to Newmark’s first-quarter U.S. Industrial Market Conditions and Trends report. The small bay segment is increasingly attractive to investors because it provides diversification in tenancy and therefore cash flow, as well as greater tenant management…

Video: The Demise of Office Real Estate Debunked with Madison Ventures Chief Strategy Officer Mitch Roschelle

The Discussion: The Resurgence of Office Spaces In a recent episode of America’s Commercial Real Estate Show the spotlight was on the hotly debated topic, “the demise of the office sector.” The show host, a seasoned commercial real estate broker, shared his platform with Mitch Roschelle, Chief Strategy Officer for Madison Ventures Plus and a regular on Fox Business News.

How real estate investors can prepare for an economic rebound

An economic rebound may not be on the immediate horizon, but multifamily investors can still make preparations for the future. Multifamily investors should look at economic indicators, such as housing markets, interest rates, and political and geopolitical dynamics—including the upcoming U.S. election—to get a clearer picture of the economy. Performing market research…

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July 10, 2024

Video: The Demise of Office Real Estate Debunked with Madison Ventures Chief Strategy Officer Mitch Roschelle

The Discussion: The Resurgence of Office Spaces

In a recent episode of America’s Commercial Real Estate Show the spotlight was on the hotly debated topic, “the demise of the office sector.” The show host, a seasoned commercial real estate broker, shared his platform with Mitch Roschelle, Chief Strategy Officer for Madison Ventures Plus and a regular on Fox Business News. The conversation delved deeply into the current challenges and future prospects of the office space market. The general focus of this discuss is office investment property throughout the United States. Such observations can apply less or even not at all to Miami and other South Florida markets.

The Debate: Is Office Space Really Dead?

The episode began by addressing the prevalent narrative that the demand for office spaces has plummeted beyond recovery in the wake of the COVID-19 pandemic. Michael Bull opened the discussion by acknowledging the difficulties the sector faces, including increased foreclosures and some owners returning properties to lenders. However, he countered the notion that office spaces are entirely obsolete, noting that while certain properties are struggling, others are performing well.

Expert Insights from Mitch Roschelle

Mitch Roschelle brought a contrarian perspective to the discussion. He challenged the doomsayers who predict the end of office spaces, arguing that the situation is more nuanced. Roschelle pointed out that the average lease term for office spaces in the U.S. ranges from five to ten years. Since the onset of the pandemic in March 2020, a significant number of leases have been renewed. If the office market were truly dead, such renewals would not be occurring.

Historical Context and Adaptation

Drawing a parallel to the retail sector, which was once predicted to be decimated by the rise of e-commerce, Roschelle emphasized that office spaces, like retail, will adapt and survive. He recalled past discussions on the show about how e-commerce would destroy physical retail, which did not happen. Instead, retail evolved and found new ways to thrive. Similarly, office spaces are in a phase of evolution rather than extinction.

The Benefits of Office Spaces

The discussion highlighted several crucial points about the enduring importance of office spaces:

1. Lease Renewals: The renewal of leases since 2020 indicates continued demand for office spaces despite the challenges.

2. Inefficient Hybrid Models: Many companies currently operate under inefficient hybrid work models, leading to underutilized office spaces on certain days. These models need refinement to ensure consistent use of office spaces throughout the week.

3. Economic and Productivity Advantages: Office environments are essential for fostering collaboration, building corporate culture, and enhancing productivity. Companies like JPMorgan Chase, under the leadership of Jamie Dimon, are pushing for employees to return to the office to leverage these benefits.

4. Historical Recovery Patterns: Historical patterns show that real estate markets, including office spaces, often recover robustly from downturns. The post-2009 housing market recovery serves as a prime example.

Strategic Investment Opportunities

The show host and Mitch Roschelle discussed the unique investment opportunities present in the current market. Office spaces are being sold at prices significantly below their replacement costs, creating attractive opportunities for investors. Bull shared examples of office buildings in prime locations being sold at remarkably low prices per square foot, suggesting that these properties could yield substantial returns in the future.

The Role of Private Equity

The discussion also touched on the potential role of private equity in the office space market. Roschelle highlighted that private equity firms, with their ability to raise substantial capital, are well-positioned to take advantage of the current market conditions. By acquiring office properties at discounted prices and managing them effectively, private equity firms can make significant gains as the market recovers.

The Future of Office Spaces

Both the show host and Roschelle are optimistic about the future of the office sector. They predict that the value of office properties will increase significantly over the next 60 months as companies adapt to new hybrid models, and demand for office space stabilizes. They believe that the current market conditions present a rare opportunity for investors to buy office properties at low prices and reap substantial rewards in the coming years.

Conclusion

The episode concluded with a call to action for those in the commercial real estate market. Bull and Roschelle encouraged investors to consider the long-term potential of office spaces and to seize the current market opportunities. They emphasized that while the sector faces challenges, it is far from dead and holds significant promise for the future.

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July 8, 2024

Miami Commercial Real Estate News July 3, 2024: Once Planned MLS Site to be 1,219 Residences, Former Sears 1,050 Unit MXU; Multifamily Sales Heat Up; More…

Mas brothers site once touted for MLS stadium getting 1,219 residences

A large vacant property in Overtown that at one time was considered for a professional soccer stadium is now being developed into a major residential and mixed-use neighborhood. The sweeping project is a collaboration between 0101 Miami Properties LLC, led by brothers Jorge and Jose Mas, and 8th Street Connections Holdings LLC, an affiliate of Terra. The site comprises…

John Ruiz, Cigarette Racing buy Opa-locka warehouses, amid industrial sales uptick

John Ruiz and his boat manufacturing firm, Cigarette Racing, scooped up a pair of Opa-locka warehouses, amid a continued uptick of South Florida industrial investment sales. They purchased the adjacent buildings at 4355 Northwest 128th Street and 13041 Northwest 43rd Avenue for $16 million from an entity led by Skip Braver, according to records. Braver sold the Cigarette Racing…

Miami Mayor Francis Suarez says transportation efforts going nowhere

As Miami-Dade’s transportation planners were about to vote on a five-year improvement plan last week, the City of Miami’s representative, Mayor Francis Suarez, notable mostly for his absence, dropped a bombshell as he complained that the group is all talk but no action and at the same time called for more talk about transit ideas. “We talk a big game and a good game…”

Board OKs 60-story Clear Residences in downtown Miami

A tall and slender golden tower is planned for a tight site in downtown Miami. Owner-developer Blutrich Holdings Inc. plans to construct the 60-story mixed-use residential tower, to be called Clear Residences, at 130 SE First St. and 153 SE Second St. The nearly 690-foot-tall structure is to include 666,432 square feet of floor area, including 549 residential units, 3,622 square feet of ground…

Zerry Ihekwaba: City Manager plans Homestead as a space industry powerhouse

Since taking on the role as Homestead city manager, Zerry Ihekwaba has already rolled out initiatives for a better quality of life for residents with citywide clean-ups, and has in the works a spaceport and an entertainment hub.  Mr. Ihekwaba joined the City of Homestead from the City of Miami, where he served as assistant, deputy and interim city manager.

Excel Construction Delivers 266,000 SF Industrial Facility in Hialeah Gardens for World Electric Supply

Excel Construction has delivered a 266,000-square-foot industrial facility at 10701 N.W. 142nd St. in Hialeah Gardens, approximately 20 miles outside Miami. World Electric Supply will occupy the property, which features 253,390 square feet of warehouse and packaging space and 12,862 square feet of office space. The building is situated within Northwest Dade Logistics Center…

RK Associates Gets Approval for Mixed-Use Development at 3655 SW 22nd Street Shuttered Sears Site in Miami

A shuttered Sears in Miami could be replaced with a multi-family housing development. The project, led by Sunny Isles Beach-based RK Associates, would offer 1,050 housing units, with layout plans ranging from studio to three-bedroom units. Specifically, the Real Deal notes that the housing plans include 995 apartments and 55 rental townhomes. Of the 995 apartments…

Last Sears in Miami to be Mixed-Use Complex

It’s getting hard to keep track of the onslaught of projects that have been put forward under Florida’s Live Local Act. The latest involves a plan to redevelop the last Sears outlet in South Florida into a mixed-use development. RK Centers, a firm founded and led by Miami Heat minority owner Raanan Katz, is aiming to build three eight-story buildings encompassing 995 apartments and 55…

Terranova moves one step closer to acquiring Location Ventures’ former HQ

Stephen Bittel’s Terranova could soon own the former Coral Gables headquarters of Rishi Kapoor’s defunct Location Ventures. On June 17, U.S. District Judge Jacqueline Becerra approved a settlement agreement in Terranova’s favor, paving the way for a final foreclosure judgment tied to the office building at 299 Alhambra Circle. The settlement is between Bernice Lee…

MAS AJP, Flagler to Develop South Florida MOBs

MAS AJP and Flagler Healthcare Solutions, two major South Florida health-care real estate firms, have formed a development partnership. The duo, titled FLAGLER MAS AJP, will break ground this fall on three medical office properties, one each in the Westchester neighborhood of Miami, Port St. Lucie, Fla., and Boynton Beach, Fla. Two others will follow.

Rilea’s partner bows out of planned Rider at Wynwood project for $21M

Promanas Group officially exited Rilea Group’s planned Rider at Wynwood project, selling its stake for $21 million. An affiliate of Saline, Michigan-based Promanas sold the 0.6-acre development site at 94 and 100 Northeast 29th Street and 101 Northeast 28th Street to an affiliate of Miami-based Rilea, records show. Rilea financed the acquisition with an $11.5 million mortgage…

Major Acquisition Expands Developer’s Waterfront Footprint in North Bay Village

Continuum Company has expanded its presence in North Bay Village by acquiring Shuckers Waterfront Bar & Grill and Best Western On The Bay Inn & Marina (now known as North Bay Inn Miami) at 1819 and 1855 79th Street Causeway. This acquisition, supported by a $67.5 million loan from Longline Financial, extends Continuum’s waterfront footprint to 4.5 acres…

Shoma Bay Breaks Ground at 1850 79th Street Causeway in North Bay Village

Coral Gables-based Shoma Group has broken ground on Shoma Bay, a mixed-use tower in North Bay Village, located at 1850 79th Street Causeway. The 24-story development will feature 333 waterfront condos, a 35,037-square-foot Publix market, and 15,628 square feet of retail space. Shoma Group acquired the property for $15.78 million in 2021. North Bay Village is seeing an influx…

Miami Tower Agrees to Affordable Component

Miami-Dade County has cut a deal with the developer of a Brickell apartment tower to set aside 26 units as affordable workforce housing for lawyers working in the state attorney’s office. Chicago-based Focus is planning to build a 39-story apartment tower at the site of the former Starlite East Motel at 128 SW Seventh St. in Miami’s Brickell neighborhood. Demolition of the aging motel…

90-Room ‘Sanctuary Hotel’ Undergoes Construction at 1745 James Avenue in Miami Beach

Developer 745 James LLC has secured a $21.5 million construction loan for a boutique hotel in Miami-Dade County. Sanctuary Hotel would measure five stories above grade and offer 90 rooms, occupying the former site of Sanctuary South Beach Condo. 745 James LLC purchased the now-demolished condominium for $14.41 million in 2019, securing approval for the hotel a year…

Former NFL star Elvis Dumervil’s firm buys North Miami apartments

A firm led by Elvis Dumervil, a former Pro Bowl NFL player turned real estate developer, paid $11.35 million for the Caribbean Club Apartments in North Miami. Miare LLP, managed by Oleg Vorobyev in Sunny Isles Beach, sold the 62 apartments at 13200 N.E. Seventh Ave. to Prestige District LLC, managed by Dumervil of North Miami-based Prestige Estates. International Finance…

Michael Shvo cuts ties with Official at Raleigh Miami Beach

Developer Michael Shvo is cutting ties with Official, the boutique brokerage co-founded by Oren and Tal Alexander, in the wake of sexual assault and rape allegations leveled against the brothers, The Real Deal has learned. Shvo, who hired Official last year to lead sales and marketing of the Rosewood Residences at the Raleigh in Miami Beach, is bringing sales in-house, sources said.

Miami-Dade County adds 4 acres in Opa-locka to rapid transit zone

About four acres of land in Opa-locka are to be included in Miami-Dade County’s rapid transit zone, an area that grants additional development rights for transit-oriented developments. The Miami-Dade County Commission unanimously approved an ordinance that included 4.02 acres at approximately 13307 Alexandria Drive into the county’s RTZ during its July 2 meeting.

New Plans Filed for ‘the Residences at Palm Court,’ Located at 950 NW 95th Street in West Little River

The Related Group has new plans regarding two residential complexes in Miami-Dade’s West Little River Neighborhood. The original proposal, filed in 2023, involved demolishing Palm Court, an 88-unit complex, and renovating Palm Tower, a 103-unit development. Now, according to the South Florida Business Journal, a new zoning application calls…

Magellan lands $148M refi for Midtown Miami mixed-use tower

Magellan Development Group and its partners scored a $147.7 million refinancing for a 32-story mixed-use tower in Midtown Miami. PGIM Real Estate, the global asset management arm of Prudential, provided the fixed-rate loan for Gio Midtown at 3101 Northeast First Avenue, according to a press release. Chicago-based Magellan, Miami real estate investor…

Foundation Pour Completed For Brickell’s 67-Story Mercedes Benz Places Tower

A foundation pour for the 67-story Mercedes Benz Places tower has been completed, according to the developer’s social media account. Vertical construction is expected to begin in July. The pour took place over the weekend, with over 10,000 cubic yards of concrete trucked in. The development is one of the largest currently under construction in Florida, at over 2.5 million square…

New Renderings Of 856-Unit Residential Project Planned At Earlington Heights Metrorail Station

The developer planning a large residential complex at the Earlington Heights Metrorail station filed new renderings and plans last week. Developer Earlington Metro, LLC is requesting Miami-Dade Administrative Site Plan Review for the workforce multifamily development. Two 15-story towers are planned on property currently occupied by bus bays. The land is to be leased by…

Sustainable Wynwood/Overtown Mixed-Use Development Called SoWy Planned

A developer just announced it has secured a $76.81 million loan for a sustainable, mixed-use development in Overtown and Wynwood. JP Morgan Chase provided the loan. More Development is the developer. The company has offices within the development site. The development will be known as SoWy, and aims to stay faithful to the vibe of the neighborhood. SoWy will span…

Prosper in contract to buy dev sites in Brickell, North Bay Village for $70M

Prosper Group, a development firm led by Jay Roberts, is in contract to acquire two sites in Miami-Dade County where the company plans luxury condo towers, The Real Deal has learned. Prosper inked contracts for a Brickell development site at 1040 South Miami Avenue in Miami for $40 million, and the assemblage at 1681 and 1725 Kennedy Causeway in North Bay Village for $30.5M…

Z Capital sues Carillon condo association’s board members in latest chapter of eight-year legal saga

Z Capital Group sued condo association board members at the Carillon Miami Wellness Resort in Miami Beach, marking the latest chapter in South Florida’s drawn-out and most prominent condo-hotel dispute. The New York-based firm sued four past board members of the Central Tower association, as well as current board president Marvin Rosen and vice president Bruce Gorsky.

Owner of former Best Buy store in Pinecrest files for bankruptcy

The owner of a former Best Buy store in Pinecrest is seeking bankruptcy protection after losing more than $1 million in rental revenue when the big box retailer moved out last year. On June 20, Maria Investments, led by Azhar Said in Miami, filed a Chapter 11 petition in Miami’s U.S. Bankruptcy Court to avoid losing the 40,242-square-foot retail building at 11905 South Dixie Highway.

Judge tosses marina shakedown lawsuit against Alex Diaz de la Portilla

Alex Diaz de la Portilla can’t be held liable for allegedly shaking down a lobbyist and his client for a piece of a city of Miami marina deal. Miami-Dade Circuit Court Judge Mavel Ruiz on Thursday tossed a lawsuit filed last year by Manuel Prieguez, a lobbyist and ex-state legislator, against the former Miami city commissioner and two Diaz de la Portilla associates, Humberto Hernandez…

FBI raids Developer Sergio Pino’s home and office in connection with death threat against estranged wife

The FBI conducted raids of developer Sergio Pino’s waterfront Cocoplum estate and his Coral Gables office, as his two-year-old divorce case takes a dark turn. Federal agents in tactical gear descended on Pino’s home at 142 Isla Dorada Boulevard and his Century Homebuilders Group headquarters at 1805 Ponce de Leon on Monday night, the Miami Herald reported.

Arson, hit-and-run, fentanyl poisoning? About allegations against Sergio Pino

Prominent South Florida homebuilder Sergio Pino has been accused of poisoning his wife with fentanyl and bath salts, as the FBI investigates whether Pino had one of his part-time employees target his wife and her sister. Sergio Pino is founder and president of Century Homebuilders Group, which considers itself the largest Hispanic-owned homebuilder in the country…

Miami’s Waterfront Ferris Wheel Owes Over $1 Million in Delinquent Taxes

Afew short years after City of Miami commissioners approved a proposal to put a ferris wheel on public land at Bayside Marketplace, the operators of the ferris wheel have fallen into delinquency on over $1 million in taxes, WLRN has learned. The money owed would go directly towards funding the city and county governments. The operators of the ferris wheel, an Arizona-based…

Multifamily Investment Sales Heat Up in South Florida

Higher for longer interest rates, the withdrawal of traditional lenders and the waning of a two-year surge in rent growth don’t appear to be dampening interest in multifamily trades in South Florida. In fact, the arrival of summer has seen an uptick in multifamily investment sales activity in the market. A bevy of recent transactions in South Florida includes Chicago-based Mesirow’s…

South Florida’s Big, Empty Warehouses Drag Down Industrial Market

There are 48 industrial spaces larger than 100K SF available across South Florida, according to data provided… . The vacant spaces total more than 10M SF, and their failure to lease is starting to weigh on the market. The pandemic-era surge that defined South Florida’s industrial market has come crashing down, with the region experiencing a bit of a hangover as…

Revv Hollywood Tops Off Construction at 2233 Hollywood Boulevard

Revv Hollywood, an eight-story, 180-unit multifamily apartment building at 2233 Hollywood Boulevard, has officially topped off. Developed by The Calta Group and with Winmar Construction as the general contractor, the project is set to welcome residents next summer. The milestone was marked with a luncheon on June 20th for over 150 construction workers…

The West Tower at Oasis Hallandale Phase Three Advances in Vertical Construction

MGM Construction Group, a South Florida-based commercial and residential construction firm, has announced the concrete pouring for levels 1-13 of the West Tower at Oasis Hallandale. Located at 1000 East Hallandale Beach Boulevard, this mixed-use development is set to top out in late fall, featuring 500 residences, shops, restaurants, and offices on its 10-acre site. The West Tower…

BBX Logistics JV Eyes Davie Redevelopment

The Park at Davie will comprise two logistics buildings. Image courtesy of BBX Logistics Properties The joint venture between BBX Logistics Properties, a subsidiary of BBX Capital Inc., and FRP Development Corp. plans to develop The Park at Davie, a two-building, Class A, 182,000-square-foot logistics campus in Davie, Fla. The partnership purchased the Signature Grand…

Mormon church’s investment arm drops $133M for Plantation apartment building, as multifamily deals soar

The Church of Jesus Christ of Latter-day Saints’ commercial real estate investment arm paid $133 million for a 315-unit apartment building in Plantation. The purchase comes as South Florida multifamily sales are soaring, despite elevated interest rates and other economic headwinds. Property Reserve, which invests the church’s reserve funds, bought the eight-story…

Bridge sells office complex in Sunrise for $49M –– a 34% discount

Bridge Investment Group sold the Sawgrass Technology Park in Sunrise for $49 million, marking a 34 percent discount from its purchase price five years ago. North Miami-based IMC Equity Group and investor Alan Lipton bought the 515,000-square-foot office campus at 1601-1699 Northwest 136th Avenue from Salt Lake City, Utah-based Bridge, according to records and real estate…

IMC Equity Group Buys Sunrise Office Park at $25M Discount

A 56-acre office park in Sunrise, Fla., traded for about a third less than its previous sale price five years ago. IMC Equity Group paid $49 million for Sawgrass Technology Park at 1601 NW 136th Avenue, south of the Sawgrass Mills outlet mall, per property records. Israel Discount Bank of New York provided a $30.3 million loan. The Sawgrass campus features a 514,332-square-foot…

Developer Seeks Funding for 101-Unit ‘Pinnacle at Cypress’ at 6520 N Andrews Ave in Fort Lauderdale

Pinnacle Housing is hoping to get funding for a senior housing development in Broward County. The project, named Pinnacle at Cypress, would measure eight stories above grade and require 115,623 square feet of new construction. At full buildout, it would yield 101 one-bedroom apartments, averaging 680 square feet each. Additionally, plans call for 52 ground-floor parking…

Glass House Boca Raton Welcomes New Project Partners, Ground Breaking Slated for Q1 2025

Glass House Boca Raton, a 10-story residential development located in downtown Boca Raton at 280 East Palmetto Park Road, continues to expand its South Florida-based development team. The development has welcomed Anthony Perera, founder and managing partner of Exuma Capital Partners, as general partner, and Square Edge as the construction management partner.

Milestone drops $112M for Delray Beach apartment complex, amid flurry of South Florida multifamily deals

Milestone Group bought a 488-unit apartment complex in Delray Beach for $111.6 million, amid a continuing flurry of South Florida multifamily investment sales. Milestone bought the Axis Delray Beach at 1495 Spring Harbor Drive from Bainbridge Companies, according to records and real estate database Vizzda. The deal breaks down to $228,770 per unit. The complex…

Milestone Group Acquires South Florida Community

The Milestone Group has acquired the Axis Delray Beach Apartments, a 488-unit garden-style multifamily property in Delray Beach, Fla., from Bainbridge Cos. The purchase price could not immediately be learned. Axis Delray Beach features a unique mix of one-, two- and three-bedroom garden and townhome-style apartments in a lakefront, resort-style setting. In 2024, one-bedroom…

Barry Sternlicht’s Starwood sells Palm Beach County apartment complex for $108M, amid uptick in multifamily deals

Brookfield Properties bought a 444-unit apartment complex near West Palm Beach for $107.5 million, marking a continued uptick in South Florida multifamily deals, despite elevated interest rates. The purchase is part of New York-based Brookfield’s $1.6 billion purchase of a 7,300-unit portfolio of 23 properties from Miami Beach-based Starwood Capital Group, led by billionaire…

Biden Administration Doles Out $504M To 12 Regional Tech Hubs;  Including South Florida ClimateReady Tech Hub

Twelve tech hubs across the country are collectively getting a half-billion dollars in federal grants to expand research in artificial intelligence, semiconductor manufacturing and clean energy. The funding is among the first distributions of the CHIPS and Science Act of 2022, which earmarked $280B to spur regional economic development and reduce dependence on foreign…

Moody’s Q2 2024 CRE Preliminary Trend Announcement

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Industrial Prices Continue Upward Trend Nationally Despite Challenges

Industrial prices are nearing those of prices in the office market, driven by an industrial boom that began with COVID-19 and a market that has remained strong despite normalizing demand and muted transaction volume due to elevated interest rates. The average industrial sale price across the country was $142 per square foot in May, up 15.4% from last year and 71.2%…

PCE Completes Trifecta of Positive Inflation Reports for May

Friday’s Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index completed a trifecta of positive inflation reports for the month of May, reflecting a continuation of disinflationary progress that was also evident in May’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) and Producer Price Index (PPI) reports.Since 1960, the year-over-year (YoY) change in headline CPI was on average, 47 basis points…

‘Alarmist’ prediction of urban doom loop proves true across country

If you want an example of just how crazy office tower valuations have become, look no further than Burnett Plaza, the tallest building in bustling Fort Worth, Texas. The massive 40-story structure was purchased via foreclosure auction for $12.3 million in May. Three years ago, the same building was sold for about $137.5 million. In other words, this tower has lost more than 91% of its…

The industrial sector nationally comes back down to Earth

After several years of extraordinary growth, the industrial sector’s moonshot performance has started to come back down to Earth. Rent growth has cooled considerably in recent years, as illustrated in the accompanying chart. For example, commercial real estate effective rent growth for warehouse and distribution properties in 2022 increased by 21.7% annually, according to…

Paying the Piper: Mortgage maturities continue to pressure the office sector

Office landlords are facing plenty of problems these days, thanks to high interest rates, reduced demand and depreciating asset values. Now, they can add one more headache to the list: the volume of maturing commercial real estate loans continues to put pressure on property owners and brokers as lenders and investors seek to minimize their exposure to the office sector.

Breaking the Cycle: Innovations in Low Emissions Building Cooling Technology

As the early season heat waves in the US move south and west throughout the week, millions of people are under heat advisories. We’re entering the summer season, where beach trips and family road trips often have a backdrop of extreme heat, dangerous smoke or hurricane warnings. For many, summer is a time of soaring electricity bills due to surging air conditioning use.

Office Loan Maturity Monitor: Momentum May! Office Maturities are Ticking up

A staggering total of $2,247 million across 23 CMBS office loans reached fully extended maturity in May with the payoff rate recorded at 35.6%Properties with strong financials and stable occupancy pay off at a higher rate. Loan size continues to be a significant factor in whether or not a loan pays off$1,126 million of loans backed by regional malls reached fully extended maturity…

Video: Moody Analytics Senior Economist Ermengarde Jabir, PhD on Data Center Real Estate; Sector Trends, Performance, & Forecast

The Conversation: Exploring the Rapid Growth of Data Centers in Commercial Real Estate The latest episode of America’s Commercial Real Estate Show delved into an increasingly significant topic within the industry: data centers. The show featured Ermengarde Jabir, PhD., Senior Economist with Moody Analytics, as the guest expert. This episode marked the first time…

What will be the impact on office demand from WFH?

While decline in demand for office space isn’t a new trend, yet measuring the precise impact of this shift can be difficult. How many employees will return to the office? What days will they be in? Will work from home (WFH) persist? In this comprehensive analysis, economists review existing research on the persistence of WFH. Then, these insights are combined with four…

Empty Offices Risk Wiping Out $250 Billion in Commercial Property Value

Nearly one-quarter of all US office space will be vacant by 2026 as working from home persists, slicing commercial-property values by as much as $250 billion, according to a report from Moody’s. Office-vacancy rates are expected to rise to 24% from 19.8% in the first quarter of this year in the US, reducing revenue for office landlords by between $8 billion and $10 billion when combined…

Florida laws tied to HOAs, condo-hotels, insurance go into effect July 1

Half a dozen new Florida real estate-related laws will go into effect on Monday, following this year’s legislative session. Gov. Ron DeSantis signed bills into law that deal with long-controversial issues such as the governing structure at condo-hotels and the lack of oversight at residential communities governed by associations. Another new piece of legislation aims to help homebuilders…

Condo crisis worsens three years after deadly Surfside collapse

The tragedy was a huge wake up call for the condo community statewide — from legislators and code enforcement to homeowners, engineers, property managers and condo board members. Laws passed in 2022 and 2023 aim to ensure another collapse of that magnitude never happens again. The legislation requires milestone inspections for condo and co-op buildings…

Why The Push To Get Workers To The Office Is A Designer’s Dream

The quality of an office space has become a key front in the war against remote work, and tenants and landlords are spending tens of millions of dollars to win the battle with posh, irresistible workspaces. It costs an average of $400 per SF to build out the interiors at 830 Brickell, Miami’s highly anticipated office tower set to deliver next quarter, according to Brian Gale…

Saudi Developer Plans $300M Push Into U.S. Luxury Developments

A Saudi developer partnering with The Trump Organization on developments in the Middle East plans to invest $300M in luxury U.S. real estate projects by year’s end. Dar Global, the international arm of Saudi Arabia’s Dar Al Arkan Real Estate Development Co., announced it is seeking partnerships to build condos in New York, Miami, Los Angeles and other key U.S. markets.

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July 3, 2024

Video: Moody Analytics Senior Economist Ermengarde Jabir, PhD on Data Center Real Estate; Sector Trends, Performance, & Forecast

The Conversation: Exploring the Rapid Growth of Data Centers in Commercial Real Estate

The latest episode of America’s Commercial Real Estate Show delved into an increasingly significant topic within the industry: data centers. The show featured Ermengarde Jabir, PhD., Senior Economist with Moody Analytics, as the guest expert. This episode marked the first time this show has explored data centers, reflecting their burgeoning importance in the commercial real estate sector. Dr. Jabir mentions Alan Turing early in the show; love that. This is an interesting interview.

Understanding the Data Center Boom

The conversation began with a discussion about the size and growth of the data center sector. Historically, data centers were considered a niche market requiring specialized knowledge to develop and operate. However, the sector has seen explosive growth in recent years, driven largely by the expansion of cloud computing and the advent of generative AI (gen AI). This growth is not only evident in the increased demand for data centers but also in the technological advancements and infrastructure developments required to support them.

The Need for Power and Resources

One of the key challenges discussed was the immense power and cooling requirements of data centers. Unlike traditional commercial real estate, data centers are often measured in terms of power capacity rather than square footage. This shift underscores the importance of access to reliable power sources and advanced cooling technologies. The conversation highlighted the trend of data centers seeking alternative power sources, such as solar and nuclear power, to meet their growing energy needs. Additionally, the move towards liquid cooling technologies represents a significant advancement aimed at reducing operating costs and improving efficiency.

Q: What is a data center’s favorite song?
A: I’ve Got The Power

Dr. Jabir notes that the gen AI operations are centered around hyperscale which can range from 2 to 100 megawatts of power capacity. With a single megawatt equivalent to the energy use of 750 to 1000 homes, the upper end of this calculation is the equivalent of the power capacity of as many as 100,000 homes. Taken further, with the average home tending to house 2.5 people, this is equivalent to the residential power consumption of a quarter million people. Bigly power.

Cap Rate Trends and Investment Value

Cap rates for data centers have remained competitive, comparable to those of industrial properties and even multifamily sectors. Despite rising interest rates, data centers have maintained and even appreciated in value, demonstrating their resilience and attractiveness to investors. The cost of building and equipping data centers is substantial, leading to a reliance on long-term leases to ensure stability and return on investment.

Location, Location, Location

The importance of location in the development of data centers cannot be overstated. While proximity to major business centers remains relevant, the need for vast amounts of power and cooling resources is driving data centers to more remote locations. Areas like Northern Virginia, also known as “Data Center Alley,” have become global hubs for data centers due to their advanced infrastructure and availability of power. Interestingly, regions with cooler climates, such as Scandinavia, are also becoming popular due to their natural cooling advantages.

The Future of Data Centers

Looking forward, the demand for data centers shows no signs of slowing. The conversation emphasized that while exponential growth may eventually plateau, the sector is still in a phase of rapid expansion. The continuous advancements in AI and cloud computing will likely keep driving the need for more data centers, pushing the industry to innovate and adapt to new challenges.

Conclusion

The discussion with Dr. Jabir provided a comprehensive overview of the data center sector, highlighting its growth, challenges, and future prospects. For anyone involved in commercial real estate, understanding the dynamics of data centers is becoming increasingly crucial as they continue to shape the landscape of the industry.

This detailed exploration into the world of data centers underscores their growing importance and the factors driving their expansion. As the sector continues to evolve, staying informed about these trends will be essential for anyone involved in commercial real estate.

A Florida Related Personal Note on the Topic

Notably, Hawkins Commercial Realty was involved in the past in working to secure a site for a cryptocurrency mining group with a need for several megawatts of power. In that process, we came to realize just how much power that was, and then further that there appeared to be only a couple of very specific locations in the entire state of Florida that had the power supply infrastructure to support this. That was a couple of years ago, but I doubt that situation has changed dramatically, if at all, since. After all, Florida has its hands full accommodating all the people moving into it from other states!

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June 27, 2024

Miami Commercial Real Estate News June 26, 2024: Miami Riverbridge Dev Gets UDRB Approval; 352-Unit Doral MF Trades for $139M, Miami Gardens Warehouse for $25.5M; More…

609 Brickell Set For Hearing Before Historic Preservation Board

A hearing on the 609 Brickell property is scheduled for Miami’s Historic and Environmental Preservation Board on July 2. The First Presbyterian Church and developer 13th Floor Key Church, LLC are requesting an an amendment to the historic designation report for the property. An iconic, 80-story tower is being planned on the property. A staff report notes that the site…

FIU Report Showcases Doral’s Economic Boom And Rising Diversity In Job Market Amidst Housing Challenges

The City of Doral is hitting its stride with significant economic growth outstripping neighboring areas, as detailed in the latest report put forth by the Florida International University’s Metropolitan Center. The Doral Economic Analysis Report 2024 Update, a continuation of the original study from 2017, reveals a city in the throes of development…

$76.81 Million Loan Secured for ‘SoWy’ Mixed-Use Development in Wynwood and Overtown

More Development, an international real estate company based in Miami and Nassau, The Bahamas, has secured a $76.81 million loan for SoWy, an upcoming mixed-use development in Wynwood and Overtown, north of Downtown Miami. The loan was announced by More Development President Whitney Thier and provided by JP Morgan Chase. The nearly eight-acre SoWy…

1,296-Unit Community Proposed for 15780 W. Dixie Highway in North Miami

An affiliate of Miami-based Resia is seeking approval for a multi-family housing development from North Miami City Officials. The North Towne apartments would comprise five, 12-story buildings, offering a grand total of 1,296 residences at full buildout. Per the South Florida Business Journal, the one-bedroom to three-bedroom units would span 626 to 1,041 square feet…

81-story Brickell Dolce & Gabbana tower advances

Development of an 81-story tower on Brickell Avenue that has been hyped as a condo-hotel with Dolce & Gabbana branding won first-step zoning approval from Miami-Dade County last week by an 11-0 vote. A final review has yet to be scheduled. Currently on the half-acre site is a seven-story office building built in 1972. This is at least the fourth project that aimed to replace that…

Eichner’s Continuum pays $75M for Shuckers site in North Bay Village

Ian Bruce Eichner’s Continuum Company acquired the popular Shuckers Waterfront Bar & Grill property and the adjacent Best Western in North Bay Village. Continuum paid $75 million for the restaurant and hotel at 1819 79th Street Causeway, according to a press release. The firm financed the deal with a $67.5 million loan from Longline Financial. Montreal-based Jesta Group…

Continuum Co. Grows North Bay Village Holdings With $75M Acquisition

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Plans revealed: Three more Live Local Act apartment towers proposed in Wynwood

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Raanan Katz plans 1,050-unit project at Miami Sears, amid surge of Live Local Act proposals

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Metromover system overhaul gains funding

County commissioners last week unanimously passed a resolution adding $6.7 million to a contract to support the Metromover comprehensive wayside system overhaul project. The additional funds bring the contract to more than $14 million. The contract with New York-based Atkins North America Inc. is for construction, engineering, and inspection services. It passed…

Transformative Miami Riverbridge downtown wins backing

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Miami Riverbridge Approved By UDRB, Including Supertower

The three-tower Miami Riverbridge megaproject was approved last week by the Urban Development Review Board. An existing Hyatt Regency will be demolished to make way for the new towers, one of which will be a new Hyatt Regency. Hyatt is partnering with Gencom on the development. Phase one will include an include an 87-story, 1,046 f00t supertall residential tower…

Miami Riverbridge Gains Unanimous Approval from City of Miami Urban Development Review Board

The redevelopment plans for Downtown Miami’s Hyatt Regency site have received unanimous approval from the City of Miami Urban Development Review Board. The updated project plans for Miami Riverbridge, presented by Hyatt Hotels Corporation and Miami’s Gencom under HRM Owner, LLC, were approved without any conditions at the board hearing. Construction…

“Aggressive pricing”: Brickell landlords list sites at record asking prices

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Matther Rieger: Housing Trust Group CEO builds vital affordable housing

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Baha Mar developer scores $77M loan for 8-acre Wynwood assemblage

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Miami’s First Supertall Tower – Waldorf Astoria Miami – Begins Vertical Construction

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616-Unit Atlantic Station Tower in Overtown Appears To Have Reached Top Off

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MSC Group buys future HQ space at Michael Swerdlow’s Block 55 in Overtown

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Corebridge buying Moishe Mana-leased Miami Gardens warehouse, as South Florida industrial deals flow

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JPMorganChase Expanding Brickell Offices For 400 More Employees

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JPMorganChase Goes Double in Miami

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‘Spectacular’ Tower Planned Across From Brightline’s MiamiCentral

A new downtown Miami transit-oriented residential tower has been announced, with a “spectacular” design. The 700,000-square-foot tower will be known as First & Fifth, and is being developed by Oak Row Equities. It will be located across from Brightline’s MiamiCentral, on a property with a rare perfect transit score of 100. The 45-story tower is being designed…

Foundation Permit Issued At Miami Freedom Park Soccer Stadium Site

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Sale of 352-Unit AMLI Doral Multifamily Community in Doral Arranged

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Pantzer continues multifamily buying binge, pays $139M for Doral complex

Pantzer Properties is bullish on South Florida multifamily, acquiring a Doral rental community less than four months after buying a West Palm Beach apartment complex. In what is now the second largest multifamily deal in the tri-county region this year, New York-based Pantzer paid $139.2 million for AMLI Doral, a 6.4-acre garden-style complex at 11481 Northwest 41st Street…

10-Story ‘Ella Miami Beach’ Set for 6940 Abbott Ave in Miami Beach

Yesterday, Florida YIMBY reported on 299 Minorca, an eight-story, mixed-use venture spearheaded by Constellation Group and Boschetti Group. Today, we’re reporting on another venture in the developers’ pipeline: Ella Miami Beach, a 10-story residential tower offering 95 condos. This is not to be confused with ELLE Residences Miami, a taller, separate venture…

Waldorf Astoria Hotel & Residences Secures Record-Breaking Construction Loan and Reaches Major Milestone in Downtown Miami

The Waldorf Astoria Hotel & Residences, a nearly 100-story luxury tower set to rise at 300 Biscayne Boulevard in Downtown Miami, has secured a historic $668 million construction loan, the largest ever for a residential condominium development in Florida. The project, developed by PMG, Greybrook, Mohari Hospitality, S2 Development, and Hilton, achieved this financing…

Developers Propose 57-Condo ‘299 Minorca’ for 299 Minorca Avenue in Coral Gables

Two developers have proposed an eight-story mixed-use venture in Coral Gables. The prospective tower, dubbed “299 Minorca,” would comprise 58,572 square feet of new construction, occupying a 10,341-square-foot site that serves as a surface parking lot. If approved by city officials on June 28th, the project would offer 57 condos intended for short-term rentals, with the homes…

Ellen Buckley gears up development firm following nearly a decade at Terra

During her nearly decade run at Terra, Ellen Buckley managed $6 billion in South Florida real estate projects from concept to final design. But after rising in the ranks to vice president overseeing development at David Martin’s Coconut Grove-based firm, Buckley found no more room to grow professionally. So last year, the 44-year-old developer left Terra to start her own firm…

Miami Seaquarium hit with eviction lawsuit

After nearly 70 years in Virginia Key, Miami Seaquarium is a step closer to getting the boot from its longtime home. Miami-Dade County on Tuesday filed an eviction lawsuit against the affiliate of Miami-based Dolphin Company that owns the landmark marine mammal attraction at 4400 Rickenbacker Causeway. Under the direction of Miami-Dade Mayor Daniella Levine Cava…

Lease roundup: Dacra lands six tenants in Miami Design District, Kushner scores bakery in Edgewater

Dacra scored six tenants at its Miami Design District development. Dacra leased out 90,000 square feet at The Moore mixed-use building at 4040 Northeast Second Avenue, for offices, a private members club, a gallery and a 13-key boutique hotel and the Elastika restaurant, according to a Miami Design District news release. Also, Italian luxury fashion brand Brunello Cucinelli…

Plans Submitted for Grove Village Bimini Block Project in Coconut Grove

Grove Bimini Nassau QOZB, LLC, managed by Sankesh Abbhi of Miami-based private equity firm Abbhi Capital, has submitted plans for the Grove Village Bimini Block Project to the City of Miami’s Urban Development Review Board (UDRB). The proposed project, encompassing the addresses 3410 and 3428 Hibiscus St, 3509/3521/3547/3551/3559/3575 and 3587 Thomas…

City to Consider Plans for ‘the Mosaic at Douglas Road’ at 3700 SW 28th Street in Miami

Today, Miami’s Urban Development Review Board will review plans for an eight-story residential housing complex west of Douglas Park. If brought to fruition, the Mosaic at Douglas Road would comprise just over 268,500 square feet of new construction, offering 130 studio to three-bedroom layout plans. Square footage ranges from 568 to 1,319 square feet, and there would be 210…

Coral Gables office loan enters special servicing

The $71.6 million loan on the Columbus Center office complex in Coral Gables entered special servicing, according to data from Morningstar Credit. The troubled loan is the latest sign that South Florida real estate is feeling the sting from elevated interest rates and other economic headwinds. Although the industry has cited the tri-county regional office market’s resilience…

Total Demolition Permit Issued For One Bayfront Plaza Supertall Site

Miami’s Building Department issued a total demolition permit for the One Bayfront Plaza site yesterday. The permit was approved on March 27. It remained approved but unissued until June 25.. A 19-story office building occupying a full city block in the heart of downtown Miami is being demolished to make way for a supertall tower. Demolition is estimated to take…

PortMiami Among The First In The World With Shore Power

Miami will see a significant reduction in pollution after Shore Power was launched earlier this month at PortMiami. Miami-Dade County Mayor Daniella Levine Cava said Miami was the first port on the eastern seaboard with the system, and one of only 35 in the world. Cruise ships docked at PortMiami no longer have to leave their engines running while in port, instead connecting…

The Weekly Dirt: Examining aspirational pricing in South Florida

Commercial landlords in Brickell are seeking record prices for their properties despite significant economic headwinds. While no one is immune to high interest rates and skyrocketing insurance premiums, multifamily and office owners are having a rockier time. Still, some are betting on the market coming back soon, especially in Miami’s Brickell Financial District, where four…

Miami-Dade Quits $160M Deal to Buy 80-Acre Office Campus

Miami-Dade County has notified the owner of an 80-acre Assurant office complex near Cutler Bay that it is backing out of a $160 million deal to buy the property and transform it into a new South Dade Government Center. A broker representing the campus’s owner, American Bankers Life Assurance — an insurance company that operates as Assurant — received a letter…

Revised Plans for Oceanfront Redevelopment in Hollywood Adds More Residential Units Under Florida’s Live Local Act

Condra Property Group has updated its redevelopment plans for a group of oceanfront hotels, adding more residential units under Florida’s Live Local Act. The New York-based developer, led by Allen Konstam, will present the revised application to Hollywood’s Technical Advisory Committee on July 1. The project concerns 3.33 acres at 2007 and 2115 N. Ocean Drive…

Pine Tree plants roots in South Florida retail with $70M Plantation purchase

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Ex-NFLer Jonathan Vilma proposes 102-unit affordable housing project on Palm Beach County church site

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Dalfen Industrial lightens Palm Beach County portfolio with $55M sale

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Retail Sales Miss Expectations While the Industrial Sector Moves Towards a More Balanced Equilibrium

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Moody’s and Zillow team up to enhance data and analytics for multifamily owners and investors

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Freddie Mac apartment investment index jumps nearly 9% in first quarter

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Starwood Fund’s Liquidity Issues Spark Spike In Withdrawals At Other REITs

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Chart: Yield Curve Remains Inverted as Recession-Predicting Power is Debated

A recession can significantly impact the commercial real estate (CRE) sector, often resulting in decreased demand for office, retail, and industrial spaces. During economic downturns, businesses tend to cut costs, which can lead to downsizing or closures. This contraction reduces the need for office spaces, leading to higher vacancy rates and putting downward pressure on rental…

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8% Of U.S. Office Buildings Are Taking Basically All The Tenant Activity

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JP Morgan’s 2024 midyear multifamily market update

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June 26, 2024

Chart: Yield Curve Remains Inverted as Recession-Predicting Power is Debated

Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Minus 2-Year Treasury Constant Maturity [T10Y2Y], retrieved from FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/T10Y2Y, June 24, 2024. Shows tendency of yield curve inversion to predict recessions.

Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Minus 2-Year Treasury Constant Maturity*

Understanding the Yield Curve

The yield curve is a graphical representation of interest rates on debts for a range of maturities. Typically, it compares the yields on short-term and long-term Treasury securities. The most commonly analyzed yield curve is the difference between the 10-year Treasury note and the 2-year Treasury note, often referred to as the 10-year minus 2-year yield spread. The yield curve chart at the top of this post is for the period from June 1976 to June 2024.

In normal economic conditions, the yield curve is upward sloping, meaning long-term interest rates are higher than short-term rates. This configuration reflects investor expectations of future growth and inflation. However, the yield curve can sometimes invert, with short-term rates exceeding long-term rates. An inverted yield curve has historically been a reliable predictor of recessions.

Yield Curve as a Recession Indicator

The yield curve’s predictive power lies in its reflection of investor sentiment. When the curve inverts, it indicates that investors expect slower economic growth or even a contraction. This sentiment often leads to reduced borrowing and spending, which can trigger a recession.

Historically, an inverted yield curve has preceded every U.S. recession since the 1950s, though the lead time can vary. This is visually evident in the chart above, with grey-shaded recession periods following yield curve inversions. For instance, the yield curve inverted in late 2005, two years before the Great Recession began in December 2007. Similarly, it inverted in 2019, before the COVID-19 induced recession of 2020. Despite these precedents, it’s essential to note that not every inversion immediately leads to a recession, and other economic factors also play significant roles.

Recent Trends in the Yield Curve

In recent years, the yield curve has shown some concerning trends. For instance, it inverted briefly in 2019, causing widespread discussion among economists and investors. This inversion occurred amid trade tensions between the U.S. and China and concerns over global economic growth. The recession that followed in 2020 was primarily due to the COVID-19 pandemic, highlighting that while the yield curve inversion was a warning signal, it wasn’t the sole cause.

Post-pandemic, the yield curve steepened significantly as the Federal Reserve implemented aggressive monetary policies to support the economy. However, as inflation surged in 2021 and 2022, the Federal Reserve began raising interest rates to curb price pressures. This tightening cycle led to another inversion of the yield curve in late 2022 and early 2023, reigniting debates about the likelihood of a recession.

What the Current Yield Curve Indicates

As of mid-2024, the yield curve remains inverted. The 10-year Treasury yield is lower than the 2-year yield, signaling that investors might be expecting an economic slowdown or a potential recession. This inversion comes amidst ongoing concerns about inflation, geopolitical tensions, and the impacts of tighter monetary policies.

However, some argue that the yield curve’s predictive power may be less reliable in the current context. Factors such as unprecedented monetary interventions by central banks, changes in global investment flows, and structural shifts in the economy could be influencing the yield curve differently than in the past. Navigating today’s economic landscape is akin to steering a ship through uncharted waters; what once worked in a familiar river may not apply to the vast and unpredictable ocean we now face. The past couple of years have been unique, to put it lightly, and that may matter. Just as you wouldn’t use a driver for a chip shot in golf, traditional indicators like the yield curve might need to be reevaluated or supplemented with new tools in this evolving economic environment.

Potential Impacts of a Recession on Commercial Real Estate

A recession can significantly impact the commercial real estate (CRE) sector, often resulting in decreased demand for office, retail, and industrial spaces. During economic downturns, businesses tend to cut costs, which can lead to downsizing or closures. This contraction reduces the need for office spaces, leading to higher vacancy rates and putting downward pressure on rental prices. Landlords may struggle to find tenants, and existing tenants might renegotiate lease terms or seek rent reductions.

Miami, known for its dynamic and diverse economy, might face unique challenges and opportunities in such a scenario. The city’s strong ties to international business and tourism could cushion some of the blow, as global companies and tourists continue to see Miami as a key destination. However, if a recession were to severely impact travel and global trade, Miami’s office spaces could see higher vacancy rates similar to other major cities.

Retail real estate is particularly vulnerable during recessions. Reduced consumer spending can lead to lower sales for retailers, forcing some to close stores or declare bankruptcy. This decline in retail activity can create vacant spaces in shopping centers and malls, further exacerbating the financial strain on property owners. The rise of e-commerce, accelerated by the pandemic, has already challenged traditional retail spaces, and a recession could intensify these challenges.

In Miami, the retail sector’s resilience may hinge on its appeal as a tourism hub. High foot traffic from tourists can help sustain retail activity even when local consumer spending declines. Yet, if a recession leads to a significant drop in tourism, Miami’s retail spaces could suffer similarly to those in other regions. The city’s luxury retail market, which caters to affluent visitors and residents, might also experience shifts in demand, potentially mitigating some negative impacts or exacerbating them depending on economic conditions.

Industrial real estate, including warehouses and distribution centers, might be less impacted compared to office and retail spaces. However, a recession can still affect this sector by slowing down manufacturing activities and reducing demand for storage and logistics facilities. While e-commerce has boosted demand for industrial spaces, a prolonged economic downturn could lead to a decrease in overall consumer demand, indirectly affecting the industrial real estate market.

Miami’s industrial sector could benefit from its strategic location as a gateway to Latin America and its robust port facilities. Despite a potential recession, the city’s role in international trade and logistics might sustain demand for industrial spaces. However, any significant disruption in global trade patterns or consumer demand could still negatively impact this sector.

Investment in commercial real estate might also see a downturn during a recession. Investors tend to be more risk-averse in uncertain economic times, leading to reduced capital flows into the CRE market. Property values may decline as a result of lower demand and higher vacancies, which could create opportunities for opportunistic investors but pose challenges for current property owners and developers.

In Miami, real estate investment trends could be influenced by the city’s attractiveness as a long-term investment destination. Its appeal to international investors and its diverse economic base might provide some stability. However, fluctuations in global investment flows and local economic conditions will play a crucial role in determining the extent to which Miami’s commercial real estate sector is impacted by a recession. The city’s proactive approach to development and its reputation as a vibrant urban center might help it weather economic storms better than some other markets, but it is not immune to broader economic forces.

Conclusion

The yield curve, particularly the spread between the 10-year and 2-year Treasury yields, has been a historically reliable indicator of economic recessions. Its current inversion raises valid concerns about future economic growth. However, while it remains a valuable tool for gauging investor sentiment and potential economic trends, it’s essential to consider a broader range of economic indicators and factors in making comprehensive economic forecasts. The current global economic landscape is complex, and while the yield curve suggests caution, it is not a definitive predictor of impending recession on its own.

Related Resources

To muddle it up some more, below is a set of posts that express varied opinions about the current state of the yield curve and what is may predict for the US economy:

*Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Minus 2-Year Treasury Constant Maturity [T10Y2Y], retrieved from FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/T10Y2Y, June 24, 2024.

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June 25, 2024

Miami Commercial Real Estate News June 19, 2024: $668M Construction Loan Secured for Miami Supertall; Dev Site Trades for $39M, 500 Units Planned; More…

PMG Receives $668M Construction Loan for Waldorf Astoria Hotel & Residences Miami

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13th Floor to build 124 condos in Coconut Creek

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‘Boulevard Gardens’ to Offer 92 Affordable Housing Units in Unincorporated Broward County

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The Fed: Commercial Real Estate in Focus

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Video: MSCI Executive Director Jim Costello Discusses Industrial Real Estate Insights and Updates

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Gov. Ron DeSantis signs bill tied to controversial balance of power at condo-hotels

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June 19, 2024

Video: MSCI Executive Director Jim Costello Discusses Industrial Real Estate Insights and Updates

The Discussion: The Evolution and Outlook of the Industrial Real Estate Market

Introduction

In a recent episode of America’s Commercial Real Estate Show the spotlight was cast on the industrial real estate sector—a segment that has experienced a dynamic shift from being the “dirty shoe” to a coveted asset class. This transformation, largely fueled by the pandemic and subsequent shifts in consumer behavior, has prompted keen interest and debate among investors and industry experts. Jim Costello, Executive Director of MSCI Research, joined the show to provide insights into the recent developments and future outlook of this sector. The subject matter of this conversation revolves around industrial real estate nationwide, thus it should be noted that insights might have diminished relevance to Miami area industrial property.

Pandemic’s Impact on Industrial Real Estate

The COVID-19 pandemic was a turning point for the industrial real estate market. As lockdowns forced consumers indoors, online shopping soared, driving an unprecedented demand for industrial space to accommodate the surge in e-commerce. Amazon, a key player in this sector, ramped up its leasing to meet the rising need for storage and distribution. Costello noted that this demand spike was partly temporary, driven by the pandemic’s extraordinary circumstances.

As vaccinations rolled out and normalcy began to return, the demand for industrial space stabilized. This rebalancing reflected a return to the pre-pandemic growth trajectory of online shopping, characterized by a slow, steady increase in demand for industrial properties. Costello emphasized that despite the temporary contraction, the long-term outlook remains positive, with steady growth expected as online shopping continues to evolve and expand.

Industrial Property Performance Amid Economic Uncertainties

The industrial real estate market has shown resilience despite the broader economic uncertainties. The Federal Reserve’s measures to curb inflation, including interest rate hikes, have impacted the overall economy but have had a nuanced effect on the industrial sector. While rising rates could potentially dampen investment, Costello highlighted that the industrial market continues to attract investors due to its predictable income streams.

He explained that although inflation has not declined as quickly as anticipated, the specific factors driving inflation—housing and automobile insurance costs—have minimal direct impact on the industrial market. This sector’s performance remains strong, supported by continued investor interest and the relative stability of cap rates. Cap rates, though increasing, have not risen as sharply as interest rates, thanks to the ongoing growth in rental income, which helps maintain attractive investment returns.

Future of Industrial Real Estate

Looking ahead, the industrial real estate market is poised for continued stability and growth. Deal volumes, while slightly down from the previous year, remain high compared to pre-pandemic levels. The sector’s attractiveness as an investment is reinforced by its ability to generate stable income, even in a higher interest rate environment.

Costello observed that the challenge for investors now lies in balancing the costs of new construction with the benefits of existing assets. Inflation has driven up building costs, making new developments less economically viable and thus reducing competitive pressures. This scenario creates a favorable environment for existing industrial properties, which continue to be in demand among investors seeking reliable returns.

Interest Rates and Economic Influences

Discussing the outlook for interest rates, Costello pointed out that the Federal Reserve’s future actions would likely be influenced by ongoing inflationary pressures and broader economic conditions. While predicting exact movements is challenging, the interplay between inflation, economic growth, and political considerations will shape the Fed’s decisions. Investors in industrial real estate should prepare for a potentially stable interest rate environment as the market adjusts to these dynamics.

Conclusion

The industrial real estate market has emerged as a robust and attractive asset class, benefiting from shifts in consumer behavior and economic conditions. Despite challenges such as inflation and rising interest rates, the sector’s fundamentals remain strong, driven by steady demand and investor confidence. As the market navigates these complexities, industrial real estate continues to offer compelling opportunities for investors seeking stability and growth. The insights shared by Jim Costello in this video underscore the sector’s resilience and potential, making it a focal point for investors in the evolving landscape of commercial real estate.

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June 13, 2024

Miami Commercial Real Estate News June 12, 2024: 1,300-Unit MF Planned for North Miami; $6.1B in New Construction in 2023;

$6.1B In New Construction Added In Miami-Dade Over The Past Year

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Sunshine Gasoline Distributors expands storage space in Miami-Dade County

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Resia plans 1,300-unit apartment complex in North Miami Beach, amid record South Florida multifamily construction

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Aby Rosen under contract to sell distressed Lincoln Road retail building for $14M

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Unanimous OK for a sister tower for Metro at Edgewater

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$29M Forfeiture Sheds Light On How Drug Money Infiltrates Commercial Real Estate

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25-Story Residential Tower In Edgewater To Be Named ELLE Residences Miami

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Codina plans another apartment building at Downtown Doral

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Miami Multifamily Real Estate Report Q4 2021

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Hotel coming to South Beach: Keyah buys Washington Ave site for $20M

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Is the Miami hype waning? In South Florida, defaulted debt volume skyrockets by 100%

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Tishman Speyer drops $100M for Pompano Beach warehouses, marking its Florida industrial market debut

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Video: MSCI Research Executive Director Jim Costello Discusses Retail Investment Property Performance & Market Dynamics

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NYT: What Retail Apocalypse? Shopping Centers Are Making a Comeback.

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Florida Rent Premiums Are Fading Fast

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June 12, 2024

Video: MSCI Research Executive Director Jim Costello Discusses Retail Investment Property Performance & Market Dynamics

The Conversation: Resilience and Revival; Insights from America’s Commercial Real Estate Show

In a recent episode of America’s Commercial Real Estate Show, the show host delves into the dynamic world of retail real estate, offering a comprehensive analysis of current trends and future prospects.  Among the topics are insights on cap rates, performance, sales velocity, new supply, and how rising/higher interest rates are affecting the sector. The episode features Jim Costello, Executive Director of MSCI Research, who provides expert insights into the sector’s performance and challenges. The general focus of this discuss is retail investment property around throughout the United States at large. Thus, observations can apply less to Miami and other South Florida markets.

A Vibrant Retail Property Landscape

The discussion kicks off with an overview of the retail real estate market. Despite some lingering challenges from the past, retail real estate is experiencing a notable recovery. According to Costello, while the total deal volume for April was down 11% from the previous year, there are promising signs of growth within certain sub-sectors. Notably, shopping centers have seen increased activity, driven by smaller, individual deals rather than large corporate acquisitions. This indicates a healthy interest in retail properties, particularly those that offer robust income growth potential.

Historically, the retail market was oversaturated with excess space built during the 70s, 80s, and 90s. However, many of these underperforming properties have been repurposed or removed, leaving behind a leaner and more profitable market.

The Evolution of Shopping Centers

One of the key points highlighted in the conversation is the transformation of shopping centers. Historically, the retail market was oversaturated with excess space built during the 70s, 80s, and 90s. However, many of these underperforming properties have been repurposed or removed, leaving behind a leaner and more profitable market. This reduction in supply, combined with a shift in consumer spending towards experiential and service-oriented activities, has bolstered the performance of surviving retail centers.

Impact of Interest Rates and Cap Rates

Interest rates and cap rates are critical factors in real estate investment. Costello explains that while retail property cap rates have increased due to rising interest rates, the growth has been relatively moderate. This stability is partly due to the rising property income, which helps offset the impact of higher interest rates. For example, retail NOI (Net Operating Income) has risen by 8% compared to pre-pandemic levels, reflecting a strong recovery in the sector.

Mixed-Use Developments: A Recipe for Success

The conversation also touches on the trend of mixed-use developments, which are becoming increasingly popular. These projects combine residential, commercial, and retail spaces, creating vibrant, walkable communities that cater to modern lifestyles. Both the show host and Costello emphasize the benefits of such developments, noting that they provide a built-in customer base for retail tenants and enhance the overall appeal of the area.

Consumer Spending and Economic Stability

Despite concerns about potential slowdowns in consumer spending, the retail market remains resilient. Costello points out that consumer spending typically aligns with personal income growth and that the current economic environment supports continued retail activity. Additionally, the episode discusses the broader economic implications of interest rates, with both experts agreeing that higher rates, while challenging, are indicative of a healthy, growing economy.

Future Outlook for Retail and Office Real Estate

The episode concludes with a forward-looking perspective on retail and office real estate. The show host remains optimistic about the office sector, drawing parallels to the retail market’s recovery. He anticipates that a reduction in new supply, combined with ongoing demand and adaptive reuse of existing spaces, will lead to a resurgence in the office market over the next five years.

In summary, the episode offers a nuanced and optimistic view of the retail real estate sector, highlighting its adaptability and growth potential. As retail properties continue to evolve and adapt to changing consumer preferences and economic conditions, they present promising opportunities for investors and developers alike. The insights shared by Costello underscore the resilience of commercial real estate and its capacity for reinvention in the face of challenges.

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June 6, 2024

Miami Commercial Real Estate News June 5, 2024: 3,200-Unit Live Local Act Project Proposed for West Little River; Wynwood 48-Story MXU Planned; More….

Live Local Project With 3,233 Residential Units Proposed in North Part of Miami-Dade

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3,200-unit project in West Little River marks Miami-Dade’s biggest Live Local Act proposal

A developer wants to build a 3,233-unit Live Local Act project in West Little River, marking the largest proposal under the affordable housing legislation in Miami-Dade County and likely all of South Florida. The proposal is for six towers reaching up to 37 stories on an 11.7-acre site at 8400 Northwest 25th Avenue in unincorporated Miami-Dade County, according…

Civic Center Metrorail Station Could Be Renamed UHealth Jackson Station Under Marketing Deal

A proposed naming rights deal would see a Metrorail station renamed for decades to come. The station currently known as Civic Center would become UHealth Jackson Station. UHealth would pay $120,000 per year for the naming rights, with increases of 2% per year. They would also be required to cover the costs of updated wayfinding throughout the Metrorail system. The deal…

Condos Now Being Proposed At Jungle Island, Along With Park

The leaseholders of Jungle Island are proposing to build condos on the property, according to a statement released to the Herald. The land is owned by the City of Miami, and leased to the operator of Jungle Island for a theme park. ESJ Capital Partners and Terra are in talks with the city to allow the condo project on five acres of the property. ESJ took over the lease from…

North Corridor rapid rail transit still a 12-year wait

Don’t plan to ride North Corridor rapid rail to Hard Rock Stadium until 10 years after World Cup games are played there in 2026. The long-awaited North Corridor is expected to open in 2036, Nilia Cartaya of the Florida Department of Transportation told the Citizens’ Independent Transportation Trust last week. The trust oversees county transportation tax receipts…

Miami-Dade taxable property values rise in double digits again

As evidence of Miami-Dade’s real estate strength, estimated taxable values of county properties rose by double digits again this year, the third consecutive year of 10% or more gains. This year’s June 1 estimate of annual growth of taxable values was exactly 10%, following last year’s estimate of 12.3% and a 10.2% estimated rise in 2023. Totals are likely to change when official figures…

Miami Beach moves to speed construction of convention hotel

The Grand Hyatt Miami Beach Convention Center Hotel continues to be atop Miami Beach’s project list as plans for the long-awaited hotel advance. Commissioners passed at first reading last month a resolution amending the city code to “authorize the review and approval of certain requests for funding from the Redevelopment Trust Fund of the Miami Beach Redevelopment…

Miami Beach ponders a homeless drop-in center

Miami Beach is mulling options to provide a nighttime drop-in center for homeless and vulnerable populations. A referral to the Public Safety and Neighborhood Quality of Life Committee passed unanimously in this month’s city commission meeting for the “administration to explore and provide options for establishing a nighttime drop-in center in Miami Beach,” says the item’s…

South Dade bus rapid transit coming ‘sometime’ in 2025

The trust that approves transportation tax spending and is one of three funders of the first new Miami-Dade rapid transit corridor asked last week when South Dade’s bus rapid transit will finally open and was told only sometime “in the first part of 2025.” County transportation head Eulois Cleckley could not be pinned down to a narrower time range when passengers…

Blackstone Proposes 128,000-SF Warehouse In Miami Airport West Distribution Area

Amid an ongoing shortage of industrial space, investment giant Blackstone (BX) plans to build a 127,655-square-foot distribution center in Miami-Dade County’s Airport West distribution area. Link Logistics, Blackstone’s industrial unit, has asked county officials to build the warehouse in an unincorporated area near Miami Springs and Medley, areas northwest of Miami International…

Morabito’s Wynwood office-retail project lands $35M construction loan, as office market slows

Morabito Properties advanced its Wynwood office-retail project with a $35 million construction loan, as looming doubts over the neighborhood’s office market viability persist. The Miami Beach-based development firm dropped $14.6 million for the Wyncatcher II project development site at 2150 Northwest Miami Court in Miami, according to Morabito’s spokesperson.

WeWork out: Co-working giant closing outpost in Miami Beach in bankruptcy restructuring

WeWork wants to scrap its South Beach co-working space. The firm, which filed for Chapter 11 bankruptcy restructuring in November, put the branch at 429 Lenox Avenue in Miami Beach on the chopping block, according to a notice WeWork filed in court on Thursday. The closing would be the first Miami-Dade County outpost WeWork wants to scrap as part of its restructuring plan.

Back to the voters: Jungle Island owner proposing condo project with Terra

David Martin’s Terra is partnering with the owner of Jungle Island to redevelop part of the city-owned site into a residential project, The Real Deal has learned. The proposal hinges on voters approving the deal, possibly later this year. Jungle Island, a waterfront eco-adventure park on Miami’s Watson Island, would close if the project moves forward, sources told TRD.

Project Peach Four-Story MXU Breaks Ground In Overtown

A groundbreaking ceremony has been held for Overtown’s Project Peach, and construction is underway. According to a 2021 presentation, the four-story project was estimated to cost $2.6 million. The developer was requesting $1.3 million in financing from the Omni Community Redevelopment Association to help make it happen. The 2021 filing showed that Project Peach…

Photos: Construction Progress At Overtown’s Block 55

Overtown’s largest mixed-use project in decades is moving closer to completion, a photo shows. Across the street, the 36-story Atlantic Station tower is near top off. The first project is known as Sawyer’s Walk (previously Block 55). It is planned to include: 578 housing units, predominantly for low income seniors; 130,000 square feet of office space; 175,000 square feet of retail…

7410 LLC Proposes Two Projects for 7401 to 7425 Harding Ave and 7410 Collins Avenue in Miami Beach

Miami Beach’s Planning Board is scheduled to hear a proposal for a five-story, mixed-use project. Our sources indicate that, presently, the 30,000-square-foot site in question serves as a parking lot for the adjacent CVS. Yet, if approved by city officials, the new venture would require 60,000 square feet of new construction, with 38,805 square feet (64.7 percent) serving as office space….

Tri-Rail’s New One-Seat Express Service From Downtown Miami Begins July 1

Tri-Rail has announced the start date of a new express service from MiamiCentral that won’t require a change of trains. Service will begin July 1, 2024. The train will stop at just five stations: West Palm Beach Station Boca Raton Station Fort Lauderdale/Hollywood International Airport Station at Dania Beach Metrorail Transfer Station MiamiCentral Station Departure…

Community Meeting Planned To Discuss $83M The Underdeck

A community meeting to discuss The Underdeck is planned by the City of Miami tomorrow. The $83M project includes public park space underneath the new Signature Bridge in downtown Miami. A $60M grant from the U.S. Department of Transportation was recently awarded, the largest such award in Miami’s history. Miami commissioners voted recently to recommend…

Quest Expands Miami Coworking Footprint. Again.

Quest’s new Doral location has fully equipped board rooms. Image courtesy of Quest Workspaces Quest Workspaces has opened its second coworking space in Doral, Fla. The company leased 23,454 square feet of office space at Doral Center in December 2022. CBRE represented the owner, Banyan Street Capital, while Newmark represented the tenant in the negotiations.

31-Story Midtown 7 Gets FAA Approval To Rise 352 Feet Above Ground In Midtown Miami

Midtown 7, a 31-story mixed-use building planned at  3001 Northeast 1st Avenue in Midtown Miami, has recently received height approval from the Federal Aviation Administration (FAA) and is progressing in the permitting process. According to a determination letter issued on May 22, the tower is approved to rise to a maximum height of 352 feet above ground…

Plans Filed for Wynwood’s Tallest Tower: 48-Story Mixed-Use Development at 2101 NW Miami Court

Plans for Wynwood’s tallest-ever tower have been filed. Currently known by its address, 2101 NW Miami Ct, the proposed mixed-use development, designed by Arquitectonica and developed by Wynwood Interest LLC, managed by Isaac, Jacobo, Simon, John, and Rosa Bazbaz, is set to rise 48 stories, or 490 feet above ground and 506 feet above sea level. The project would yield…

Juvia to open rooftop restaurant at Standard Residences in Midtown

Juvia Group inked a 15-year lease to open a rooftop restaurant at the Standard Residences, Midtown Miami, The Real Deal has learned. Carlos Rosso’s Rosso Development, Standard International and Alex Vadia’s Midtown Development are developing the 12-story, 228-unit building at 3100 Northeast First Avenue. It’s under construction and is expected to be completed…

Driftwood Capital Provides $34.8M Mezzanine Loan for Marriott-Branded Hotel Complex near Miami International Airport

Driftwood Capital has provided a $34.8 million mezzanine loan for the refinancing of Miami Airport Marriott Connection, a complex comprising three Marriott-branded hotels near Miami International Airport. Driftwood Capital provided a two-year loan with three one-year extension options on behalf of the borrowers, an affiliate of Cerberus Capital Management and Highgate…

Miami Design District billboard ban could have bigger implications for CRE

A billboard ban in Miami’s Design District did not cause a single-story office building in the chic neighborhood to lose millions of dollars in value, according to a recent court ruling. On May 20, six months after a week-long bench trial, Miami-Dade Circuit Court Judge Migna Sanchez-Llorens ruled that the city of Miami was not liable for property owner Karenza Apartments…

Digital Billboard Battle Just Getting Started; Fights still pending in court and at Miami-Dade County

What was thought to be a victory for the Pérez Art Museum Miami (PAMM) and the Adrienne Arsht Center for the Performing Arts in a monthslong digital billboard debate has since turned into something quite different. Rather, the real battle has only just begun. In a recent reversal by the Miami City Commission at its May 23 meeting, the body voted to completely repeal…

Moderate Industrial Growth Can’t Stop Miami’s Enduring Appeal

In 2023 and continuing into 2024, Miami’s industrial sector experienced moderate growth due to reduced lease turnover, accelerating interest rates and economic uncertainty. However, the market’s strong industrial fundamentals and international connectivity via Miami International Airport and PortMiami continue to demonstrate its enduring strength and resilience.

Ira Giller planning mixed-use mid-rise in Miami Beach

Ira Giller wants in on his home city’s burgeoning office market. Gateway Group, the family-owned firm led by the Miami Beach architect and real estate investor, is planning a new $21.6 million mixed-use building with three floors of offices in the city’s Mid-Beach neighborhood. On Thursday, the Miami Beach Design Review Board approved Giller Tower, a seven-story…

‘Urbania NoMi 6th Ave’ Proposed for 12830 Northeast Sixth Avenue and 575 Northeast 127th Street in North Miami

North Miami’s Planning Commission will review a proposal for Urbania NoMi 6th Ave, a mixed-use development. Proposed by NoMi Holdings Group 2, the 11-story venture would feature 240 apartments, measuring about 695 to 1,070 square feet each. According to Colombia-based Continua Developments’ website, there would be 97 one-bedroom homes and 143…

Developer Sets Eyes on Imperial Club; $60M sought for rehab of Aventura retirement home

Developers are looking to soon purchase a 14-story senior living facility in Aventura known as Imperial Club. Located at 2751 NE 183rd St., Imperial Club is an assisted living facility that also offers accommodations for independent living. Darren Smith, president of Smith & Henzy Advisory Group, says the real estate development firm plans to convert the building to a completely…

Developer Plans 6-Story Hotel Tailored For Pilots At 4849 NW 36th Street Near Miami International Airport

A developer has proposed a new hotel for pilots just north of Miami International Airport in Miami Springs. The city’s Planning and Zoning Board was scheduled to review the site plan for the Pilot House Suites by Sucre LLC on the evening of May 28. The proposed development encompasses 1.13 acres of vacant land at 4849 Northwest 36th Street, 673 La Villa Drive…

Plans Unveiled For 28-Story Mixed-Use Development ‘Shoma 88’ In Kendall

Miami-based developer Shoma Group has announced plans for Shoma 88, a mixed-use development in Kendall. Designed by PPK Architects, this 28-story project will feature 405 rental units, each offering approximately 920 square feet of space. In alignment with Florida’s Live Local Act, at least 40 percent of the units will be designated for workforce housing.

Shoma plans 404-unit rental tower in Kendall, amid a Live Local Act bonanza

Shoma Group wants to build a 404-unit apartment tower with workforce housing in Kendall, amid a torrent of Live Local Act project proposals. The Coral Gables-based firm, led by married couple Masoud and Stephanie Shojaee, proposes a 31-story tower on a 1.9-acre site at 9525 North Kendall Drive in unincorporated Miami-Dade County, according to an application Shoma…

Construction Starts on ‘Wyn Ave’ and ‘W35’ in Miami’s Wynwood Arts District

South Florida-based ABH Developer Group has announced construction on two mid-rise buildings in Miami’s Wynwood Arts District. Here’s what we know. The larger of the two buildings is Wyn Ave, a six-story structure comprising 44 apartments, measuring about 425 to 875 square feet each. Our sources indicate that rent will start at $2,400 a month. Communal amenities…

Miami-Dade could lease 10 acres to Terra for workforce housing

Terra is seeking a deal to build up to 675 workforce apartments around South Dade Government Center through a ground lease with Miami-Dade County. The Miami-Dade Housing, Recreation, Culture and Community Development Committee will consider the ground lease for two sites for a combined 10.74 acres surrounding the government complex at 10740 S.W. 211th Street…

Affinius Capital Originates $70M Refinancing for Multifamily Community Modera Skylar in Miami

Affinius Capital LLC has originated a $70 million loan for the refinancing of Modera Skylar, a 263-unit apartment community in Miami. The borrower is a joint venture between Rockwood Capital and Mill Creek Residential. The property includes a 20-story building comprising 166 units and a 10-story building spanning 97 units. Modera Skylar features a mix of studio…

Caroline Weiss’ mother-daughter Blue Lagoon dev site feud ends

Caroline Weiss’ legal battle with her eldest daughter for control of a 7-acre development site in Miami’s Blue Lagoon district appears to be over. On May 29, the Third District Court Of Appeals affirmed a 2022 lower court ruling that dismissed Adeena Weiss-Ortiz’s 10-year-old lawsuit against her mother and entities that own the three-property waterfront assemblage on Northwest 7th St…

April 2024 Industrial Report: Miami Takes Lead in Rent Growth

At the same time, the U.S. industrial market maintained its upward trend in rent prices. In March 2024, national in-place rents averaged $7.85 per square foot, reflecting a robust 7.3% year-over-year increase. Notably, new leases signed in the last year commanded a premium by averaging $10.43 per square foot. However, the biggest story lies in Miami’s rise: After two years of dominance…

Plans for Live Local towers popping up across Miami-Dade

Bazbaz Development plans a 48-story building in Wynwood. These are just the latest development applications filed under the Live Local Act. The new state law, which incentivizes developers that incorporate workforce housing into their projects, was recently enhanced by the passage of Senate Bill 328. In exchange for setting aside at least 40 percent of the residential units in a project…

Miami-Dade OKs $182M for new county government building after controversy over previous above-market price

After residents raised concerns last year with Miami-Dade County’s plan to pay well-above market-value for a new government center, the commission approved a tweaked deal that dropped the price by around 11 percent. Miami-Dade plans to buy the six-story Flagler Corporate Center at 9250 West Flagler Street in the Fontainebleau neighborhood in an unincorporated…

Teachers Could Live Where They Work; New Brickell school going up to house school staff

There’s a new kind of development going up in Brickell. With granite countertops and a balcony, this building’s 600-square foot units will go for no more than $1,700 a month – not bad for a one-bedroom apartment in Miami these days. Just blocks away from a Metro station and Brickell City Center, this is just the kind of place where many of South Florida’s young professionals…

Marion to Close After Nearly a Decade in Brickell, Will Reopen as New Venue

After nearly a decade of throwing Thursday night soirées, iconic ladies’ nights with French flare, and serving America-Asian fusion cuisine to a crowd looking for an elevated night out, Marion in Brickell will close this summer. The dining and nightlife destination, which opened its doors in 2015 and paved the way for elevated Brickell restaurants to come, has announced it will close…

How 2 Miami Neighborhoods Have Grown To Outshine Its Urban Core

Executives at FIFA, international soccer’s governing body, were torn. They wanted to open a Miami office last year but couldn’t decide between a location in Coral Gables or at the Waterford Business District, a 250-acre office park near Miami International Airport. “If you’re trying to do something world-class and connect yourself to the city in preparation for the 2026 World Cup…

The Magic City’s Rise; An interview with Miami mayor Francis Suarez

Miami began styling itself “The Magic City” just a month after its incorporation in 1896. In recent years, it has lived up to the name, topping lists of the world’s most successful urban centers. As its staggering real estate prices, heavy traffic, stunning beauty, and aura of prosperity testify, Miami has been integral to Florida’s rise to the forefront of American life. As many cities…

BH partners with Prime on Hallandale Beach condo-hotel project

BH Group is partnering with Prime Group to develop a condo-hotel project in Hallandale Beach. The joint venture is now shopping for a hotel brand to reside in the proposed 14-story building at 804 South Federal Highway, according to Isaac Toledano, who along with his wife, Liat, leads Aventura-based BH. A site plan application for the development, which includes 138…

Cortland drops $63M for 240-unit Pembroke Pines rental complex, amid muted investment sales market

A Morgan Stanley asset manager sold the Harbour Cove apartment complex in Pembroke Pines for $62.6 million, despite cooling South Florida investment sales. Atlanta-based Cortland bought the 240-unit community at 1601 South Hiatus Road from Boston-based Eaton Vance, according to records and real estate database Vizzda. The buyer took out a $47.5 million Freddie…

Developer Advances With 620-Unit Residential Development Across 30.6 Acres At 1600 S. Park Road In Hollywood

Developer Park Road Development LLC is advancing with detailed plans for 30.6 acres of city-owned land in Hollywood five years after securing the bid for the property. The city’s Technical Advisory Committee is set to review the residential and commercial components proposed for 1600 South Park Road on June 3. Additionally, a concurrent land use amendment will require…

Trinity, Credit Suisse secure $575M refi for Hollywood’s Diplomat

Trinity Real Estate Investments and Credit Suisse Asset Management lined up a $575 million refinancing of the Diplomat Beach Resort in Hollywood. The joint venture is expected to close on a $452 million first-lien mortgage from Citi Real Estate Funding and German American Capital Corp. next week, according to a Kroll Bond Rating Agency report. TD Miami Beach Mezz…

R&B’s Gateway at Wynwood heads to foreclosure

Three years after completing Gateway at Wynwood, R&B Realty could lose the 14-story mixed-use building at a foreclosure sale set for next month. On May 28, Miami-Dade Circuit Court Judge Pedro Echarte Jr. granted final judgment in favor of Wilmington Trust NA as trustee for Boise-based A10 Capital, court records show. Two months ago, Wilmington Trust filed a foreclosure…

$84.4M Loan Secured For The Arcadian Mixed-Use Affordable Housing Project In Fort Lauderdale

Centennial Bank has provided an $84.4 million loan for The Arcadian, an 8-story mixed-use affordable housing project at 640 Northwest 7th Avenue in Fort Lauderdale. Designed by Behar Font & Partners and developed by Fuse Group in collaboration with Boca Paila led by Grupo Krea, the project will include 478 residential units, 15,000 square feet of retail space, and a 212,000 sf…

Fuse and Boca Paila land $84M loan to build Fort Lauderdale project

Fuse Group and Boca Paila recently broke ground on a Fort Lauderdale mixed-use project after scoring a $84.4 million construction loan. Centennial Bank provided the financing for The Arcadian, a planned $153 million complex of two eight-story buildings at 640 Northwest Seventh Avenue, according to a press release. The development consists of 480 apartments…

Church redevelopment is gospel in South Florida: 160-unit apartment project planned in Fort Lauderdale

Developers plan a 160-unit apartment project on an assemblage that includes the Shaw Temple AME Zion Church in Fort Lauderdale, as redevelopment of religious sites soars across South Florida. Tal Levinson and Eric Malinasky want to build a six-story building on a 1.3-acre property at 500, 506, 510, 522, 530 and 534 Northwest Ninth Avenue in the Dorsey-Riverbend neighborhood…

BBX Logistics, PCCP Break Ground on Delray Beach Industrial Park

The Park at Delray groundbreaking ceremony. Image by Marco Bell Photo, courtesy of BBX Logistics Properties BBX Logistics Properties and joint venture partner PCCP LLC have broken ground on The Park at Delray, a 40-acre campus in Delray Beach, Fla. Phase one of the project includes the development of a 200,000-square-foot building. The Park at Delray is taking shape…

Financial firms magnet? Here’s who leased at Steve Ross’ downtown West Palm office towers

South Florida’s office market prospered from an influx of companies over the past four years, pushing up rents to record rates and prompting developers to jump on projects. But now, as tenants pause expansion plans due to elevated interest rates and more expensive financing, some office owners and developers are feeling the sting of higher vacancies and a lack of preleasing.

The Pros and Cons of a Strong Economy for CRE 

In CRE, good and bad news come hand-in-hand. What’s bad for the retail sector might be good for warehouse performance; trends that put major metros at a disadvantage may be supporting success in suburbs or smaller cities.   The strong economy that we’ve seen over the last few quarters presents a similar scenario. Market conditions have no doubt been great for rents…

Video: RXR CEO Scott Rechler; There’s Been A Day Of Reckoning For Commercial Real Estate Nationally

The Conversation: Navigating the Financial Landscapel A Conversation on the Challenges and Opportunities Ahead In a revealing conversation, Scott Rechler, CEO and Chairman of RXR, joins Bloomberg Intelligence to delve into the evolving landscape of interest rates, debt, and real estate, painting a complex picture of the challenges and opportunities that lie ahead.

Industrial Property Trends For 2024

The likes of manufacturing facilities, warehouses, and distribution hubs have all been influenced by developments in technology, sustainability, and customer expectations. Insider looks at some of the trends that are shaping the industrial property space for 2024 and beyond. Smart warehousing. Isra Akhter is the senior consultant in the digital advisory team at CBRE.

Riding Out the Storm in Some Office Markets, Potential Opportunities

Across the United States, cities are grappling with an unprecedented crisis in the office sector, underscored by staggering drops in commercial real estate values. Recent reports have painted a grim picture, with total losses potentially reaching as high as $1 trillion. This downturn has been felt in many areas, including the California market, where large defaults in cities…

Video: Costar National Director of Office Analytics Phil Mobley Provides Office Real Estate Forecast, Discusses Performance & Cap Rates

An In-Depth Discussion on the Future of the Office Market: Insights from Phil Mobley, National Director of Office Analytics at CoStar Introduction In a recent conversation with Phil Mobley, the National Director of Office Analytics at CoStar, the host of America’s Commercial Real Estate Show delved into the complexities and current state of the office market.

More Pain to Come for Regional Banks Nationally

Regional banks and commercial real estate are inevitably linked. As commercial properties, most notably office space, work through the current crisis of sliding valuations and high interest rates, it is important for brokers to understand how intertwined these two sectors are in the current economy. The following are a few different ways of looking at the connection between…

Will RealPage face a long line of court cases?

Judging by the news these days, you might think that RealPage CEO Dana Jones is commercial real estate’s Public Enemy No. 1. Her company has certainly garnered plenty of negative publicity for its YieldStar Revenue Management software that collects data about rental units and then tells landlords how much they can charge for an apartment. I first wrote about the Texas-based…

Put It on Ice: Climate-controlled storage facilities are heating up the market

Modern climate-controlled facilities play an ever-greater role in the nation’s supply chain. America’s food processing, pharmaceutical and cold storage warehousing infrastructure continues to grow with a larger emphasis on just-in-time logistics and last-mile delivery. Brokers seeking financing for these projects, which can include new construction, retrofits, expansions and facility…

Debt service coverage ratios warn of office distress in some metros

The good news thus far for the beleaguered office real estate sector is that the surge of distress that many observers have predicted has yet to be actualized. The bad news, though, is that according to research from Yardi Matrix, many markets remain at risk of distress from offices that don’t have the income to cover their debt obligations. Debt costs for commercial real estate have…

The Fed’s Beige Book: Cautious Optimism in the Labor Market

The new Beige Book largely describes economic trends holding steady in the Southeast with slow overall growth as price pressures generally continue to ease and employers have a slightly easier time finding labor. This edition of the anecdotal report included a “community perspectives” section on conditions in low- and moderate-income communities that appears…

“Becoming a big issue”: Conflicts at condo, homeowners associations fuel insurance woes

In Pembroke Pines, the Heron Pond condo complex’s property insurer halted coverage in April, and the general liability carrier warned it won’t renew its policy when it expires in June. Near North Miami Beach, the Star Lakes condo complex’s board president said he expects this year’s insurance premiums to be about 45 percent more than the association paid in prior years.

Is Bank OZK overexposed to real estate?

When a Citi analyst downgraded Bank OZK from a buy to a sell, sending the stock price tumbling 17 percent, the news shook the industry. Normally, an analyst’s downgrade is not the center of real estate water cooler conversations. But OZK is arguably the most important bank in commercial real estate. It is watched more closely than any other bank, and for good reason.

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June 5, 2024

Video: RXR CEO Scott Rechler; There’s Been A Day Of Reckoning For Commercial Real Estate Nationally

The Conversation: Navigating the Financial Landscape; A Conversation on the Challenges and Opportunities Ahead

In this interesting, quick-paced, conversation, Scott Rechler, CEO and Chairman of RXR, joins Bloomberg Intelligence to delve into the evolving landscape of interest rates, debt, and real estate, painting a complex picture of the challenges and opportunities that lie ahead. The discussion underscores the industry’s transition through the five stages of grief—moving past denial to acceptance—regarding the reality of persistently high interest rates and their far-reaching implications.

Interest Rates and Market Realities

The conversation opens with a reflection on the industry’s initial optimism last year when the Federal Reserve hinted at a more dovish stance. This optimism was soon replaced by a sobering acceptance that lower interest rates are not on the horizon. The industry now faces the daunting task of managing a trillion dollars of debt maturing this year, with another two trillion in the next three years. Much of this debt was financed at historically low interest rates, which are unlikely to return. Rechler uses a term I’ve not heard in a long while as he notes there is going to have to be a re-equitisation, with pain on the equity side and pain on the debt site. Re-equitisation is deleveraging with some debt exchanged for equity. Yeah, surely there will be some of that, particularly in some of the more troubled office markets.

The Impact on Banks and Commercial Real Estate

As institutions adjust to this new normal, they are busy taking appropriate marks and reserves. The discussion highlights the significant impact on banks, particularly concerning commercial real estate. U.S. pensions are already taking write-offs on commercial properties, and more banks are expected to face similar issues. The current scenario is starkly different from the 2008 crisis, where an injection of capital helped lift all values. Today, structural issues between interest rates and property values present a more complex challenge.

The Future of Office Buildings

The fate of office buildings, especially in the post-pandemic world, is a focal point of concern. Office spaces are undergoing revaluation due to interest rates and changing usage patterns. Some buildings are becoming competitively obsolete, necessitating careful selection and strategic adjustments. Banks need to reconfigure loans, equity holders must inject new capital, and properties must be chosen for their potential success in the new environment.

The Multifamily Sector: An Achilles’ Heel

The multifamily sector emerges as a critical concern, particularly for regional banks with heavy concentrations of such loans. Even if the credit quality remains good, many of these loans are underwater due to interest rate increases. Additionally, new supply entering the market exacerbates the situation, creating significant headwinds for the next few years.

Opportunities Amid Distress

Despite these challenges, the discussion also points to potential opportunities. This period could represent a generational moment to be a buyer in the market, provided one is selective and strategic. The key is not just having capital but also the capability to identify properties that can succeed. The approach should focus on creating value rather than relying on a return to lower interest rates.

Addressing the Housing Shortage

A critical issue highlighted is the housing shortage in the country, exacerbated by the financial crisis of the last decade. Conservative building practices post-crisis and the pandemic-driven home-buying frenzy have left the market with an estimated shortage of six million units. This shortage, coupled with less new construction, is expected to continue putting pressure on housing availability and prices.

Strategic Investment: The Digital vs. Film Analogy

In identifying investment opportunities, the conversation introduces the analogy of “digital” versus “film” buildings. “Digital” buildings are those designed for the modern era, fostering collaboration, accessibility, and engagement—qualities necessary for attracting tenants and ensuring success. The strategy involves investing in these digital properties, even if they have broken capital structures, and then fixing those structures to unlock value.

Conclusion

The conversation concludes with a nuanced view of the future. While there are significant challenges ahead, particularly with high interest rates and a looming debt crisis, there are also strategic opportunities for those willing to navigate the complexities. The key lies in selective investment, understanding the evolving market dynamics, and focusing on long-term value creation. As the industry continues to adapt, these insights provide a roadmap for navigating the financial landscape in the coming years.

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June 3, 2024