Category: Economy

Chart: USA’s Leading Economic Indicators Decline, but Remain Better than Others

Sep 04, 2019 - Economy - 0 Comments - Standard

Best house in a bad neighborhood. (via @CreditSuisse) — Carl Quintanilla (@carlquintanilla) September 3, 2019 As can be seen in the chart in this “best house in a bad neighborhood” tweet by Carl Quintanilla, the leading economic indicators for the United States have declined significantly, of late registering below 100. However, as indicated by […]

Chart: Another Perspective on the Inverted Yield Curve

Aug 22, 2019 - Economy - 0 Comments - Standard

1/3 St. Louis #Fed: Does the recent flattening of the #yieldcurve portend #recession? Not necessarily. The flattening of the real yield curve may simply reflect the fact real consumption growth is not expected to accelerate or decelerate from present growth rate of about 1% y/y — Don Curren (@dbcurren) August 20, 2019 This is […]

Chart: Near Half of Non-USA Corporate Investment Grade Bonds are Trading at Negative Yields

Aug 15, 2019 - Economy - 0 Comments - Standard

Excluding the US 45% of corporate investment grade bonds globally trade at negative rates! @DeutscheBank via @SoberLook — Adam Tooze (@adam_tooze) August 15, 2019 This most definitely goes under the heading of “different.” For commercial property investors considering cap rates, the heading might be “consider the alternative.”

Video: Highlights of Deloitte, NAR, and Situs RERC Produced Report, Expectations and Market Realities Outlook Report 2019 ~ Uncharted Territory, are Discussed by NAR’s George Ratiu

Mar 07, 2019 - Economy - 0 Comments - Standard

 George Ratiu, Director of Quantitative & Commercial Research with the National Association of REALTORS (NAR), joins the host of America’s Commercial Real Estate Show to discuss in some depth the annual Market Expectations and Realities Outlook Report for 2019 ~ Uncharted Territory, just published by NAR, Deloitte, and Situs RERC. They’ve elected to add “Uncharted […]

Video: Atlanta Federal Reserve Commercial Real Estate Expert Brian Bailey Discusses Cycle Timing

Feb 20, 2019 - Economy - 0 Comments - Standard

 Brian Bailey, Subject Matter Expert, Commercial Real Estate at the Atlanta Federal Reserve,  joins Michael Bull on America’s Commercial Real Estate Show to discuss his perspective on the commercial real estate market, including our current economic cycle and timing thereof. He talks about different commercial property sectors, increased construction of luxury multifamily in the face […]

Video: JLL Chief Economist Ryan Severino on 2019 Economy Now

Jan 29, 2019 - Economy - 0 Comments - Standard

 Chief Economist at JLL Ryan Severino appears on a commercial real estate related show to discuss the current status of the economy and related implications for commercial property investors. He notes that he does not expect a big slowdown, projecting 2% to 2.5% growth in the coming year. He thinks the fundamentals of the […]

Video: PwC Partner Mitch Roschelle Discusses 2019 for Commercial Real Estate Investors

Jan 22, 2019 - Economy - 0 Comments - Standard

PwC Partner & Business Development Leader Mitch Roschelle joins the host of America’s Commercial Real Estate Show in-studio to discuss his analysis of the real estate market in 2019. Among the topics discusses are the current economic climate, including how the United States is linked to developments in other economies around the world, supply and […]

Ordinary vs. Inflation Indexed Treasuries “TIPS” Spread Indicates Inflation Expectations Dipping

Jan 11, 2019 - Economy - 0 Comments - Standard

The difference in yield between that of Treasury Inflation Protection Securities, commonly referred to as TIPS, and the yield of ordinary U.S. Treasury securities with the same maturity dates is referred to as the  TIPS spread.  The chart above shows this spread for various maturites for the past 15 years. Ordinary U.S. Treasury securities don’t initially […]

Video: NAR Chief Economist George Ratiu Discusses Commercial Real Estate Investor Sentiment, Sector Outlook

Dec 26, 2018 - Economy, Trends - 0 Comments - Standard

George Ratiu, Chief Economist with the National Association of Realtors (NAR), appears on America’s Commercial Real Estate Show to discuss the NAR’s 2019 Commercial Real Estate Outlook. Topics discussed in this segment include investor sentiment, capitalization rates (cap rates), and vacancy rates, as well as which sectors within commercial real estate are performing best. He […]

NAR® Director of Commercial Research George Natiu Discusses Their Economic and Commercial Real Estate Outlook ~ Current Economic Cycle

Nov 30, 2018 - Economy - 0 Comments - Standard

 George Ratiu joins the of a well known commercial real estate related discussion show to discuss the National Association of REALTORS® Economic and Commercial Real Estate Outlook, including the market cycle, inflation, and interest rates, with a concentration on the current economic cycle. Of course, discussed is the potential effect on commercial real estate.

Commercial Borrowing Cost: Rate Watch Quarterly 2018 Q3

Oct 23, 2018 - Economy, Financing - 0 Comments - Standard

At the end of the 3rd quarter of 2018, both short and intermediate yields continued their climb begun nearly three years ago. As can be seen in the accompanying chart, five year rates, most closely tracked for commercial property borrowing cost, found themselves testing 3%, with short term (here 1 month) rates following close behind […]

Video: CCIM Institute Senior Economist KC Conway Discusses Which Commercial Sector Wins Going Forward

Oct 16, 2018 - Economy - 0 Comments - Standard

CCIM Chief Economist KC Conway appears on America’s Commercial Real Estate Show with its host Michael to present various predictions, principally comments on which commercial real estate sector will come out on top. Included in the discussion are some the the innovations in retailing concepts, experiential and otherwise. He discusses how the bulk of industrial […]