Jul 01, 2018 - 0 Comments - Economy -

Yield Curve Quarterly Snapshot – 2018 Q2

U.S. Treasury Yield Curve Nominal and Real Q2 2018 vs. Q1 2018

U.S. Treasury Yield Curve Nominal and Real Q2 2018 vs. Q1 2018

At the end of the 2nd quarter of 2018, U.S. Treasury yields, on a nominal basis at all maturities except the longest, increased as much as 25 to 30 basis points. On a real basis, however, rates were essentially unchanged at all maturities.

The interest rate environment has the ability to affect commercial property economics in a number of different ways (see thisthis, and this).  Borrowing costs are, of course, affected directly, as higher interest rates increase the cost of borrowing and thus  negatively affecting demand.  Cap rates tend move over time with interest rates, but not in lockstep, with considered analyses generally concluding that capitalization rates on average move in the same direction as 10-year rates, but only about a third as much, and again not in lockstep.  Interest rates also affect the economy, which in turn affects vacancy and rental rates.  In summary, the interest rate environment is very important to commercial property investment.

View more yield curve quarterly snapshots.