Category: Analysis

First Quarter 2016 Commercial Real Estate Outlook

Mar 01, 2016 - Analysis - 0 Comments - Standard

The National Association of Realtors® (NAR) Commercial Real Estate Outlook for the first quarter of 2016 focuses on market performance large and small commercial property sectors. The report provides an overall view of economic indicators, investment sales of commercial real estate, and commercial property leasing fundamentals. Some highlights of this quarters reports include: Rising employment levels […]

The Leveraging Effect of Occupancy/Vacancy on NOI

Feb 24, 2016 - Analysis - 0 Comments - Standard

In a prior post, I discussed the potential effects on values as interest rates change, assuming capitalization rates changing in tandem at some ratio.  Capitalization rates, however, are not the entire story, not at all.  In particular, given that net operating income (NOI) is the numerator in the NOI/price cap rate calculation, as NOI changes, […]

Video: Performance of the 2015 Industrial Market

Feb 20, 2016 - Analysis - 0 Comments - Standard

Larry Callahan and Peter Anderson join host Michael Bull to discuss how the industrial market and Pattillo Industrial performed in 2015, what types of industries and users are most active right now and what tends to be important to tenants today.  South Florida investors may also wish to view our industrial property sales and leasing […]

Mid-Market Miami-Dade Retail Properties Cap Rate Dips ~ Presumably Due to Embedded Rent Increases; Top Buyers, Sellers

Feb 17, 2016 - Analysis - 0 Comments - Standard

The capitalization rate (cap rate) for mid-market retail properties in Miami-Dade County (5,000 to 15,000 square feet) drifted to under 4% in the most recent period reported by Costar.  As can be seen in the attached chart, cap rates have been relatively consistent over the years, generally moving up and down around a 6.5% or so midpoint. […]

Commercial Real Estate Loan Totals Soar Ever Higher

Feb 15, 2016 - Analysis - 0 Comments - Standard

As can be seen in the accompanying chart (Commercial Real Estate Loans, All Commercial Banks June 1, 2004 to November 1, 2015), the total of commercial real estate loans for all commercial banks has hit a new high for the periods available at the Federal Reserve Bank economic research pages.

Mid-Market Miami-Dade Multifamily Cap Rate Drifts Under 7%

Feb 03, 2016 - Analysis - 0 Comments - Standard

The capitalization rate (cap rate) for mid-market multifamily properties in Miami-Dade County (20 to 80 units, 1,448 properties) drifted to just under 7% in the most recent period reported by Costar.  As can be seen in the attached chart, cap rates have been relatively consistent over the years, generally moving up and down around a […]

January 2016 Greater Downtown Miami Study of Retail Market Conditions Report Published

Feb 02, 2016 - Analysis - 0 Comments - Standard

The Miami Downtown Development Authority has published a January 2016 Study of Retail Market Conditions.  Highlights include: About 1.425 million square feet of retail are planned or under construction, most within Brickell City Centre. Downtown Miami contains about 6.5 million square feet of retail, with rents varying widely from the high teens to more than […]

Cap Rate for Miami-Dade Retail Property Remains Just Under 6%

Jan 27, 2016 - Analysis - 0 Comments - Standard

The capitalization rate (cap rate) for retail properties in Miami-Dade County that are 5,000 square feet or larger (4,855 properties), as reported by Costar, remained under 6% in the most recent period, as can be seen in the accompanying chart.  This represents a significant decline from five years prior, when cap rates for such retail […]

Upcoming February 4th Webinar: Real Estate Expectations And Market Realities 2016

Jan 22, 2016 - Analysis - 0 Comments - Standard

The National Association of REALTORS (NAR) together with Deloitte and Situs RERC will once soon release an annual commercial real estate market outlook for the year. The report, Expectations And Market Realities 2016, will assemble a wealth of research and data from a large set of data providers, respondents to surveys, economists, analysts, reviewers, business associates and colleagues. Related […]

Miami-Dade Unemployment Rate Furthers its Decline

Jan 22, 2016 - Analysis - 0 Comments - Standard

The unemployment rate in Miami-Dade County As can be appreciated in the accompanying chart (Unemployment Rate in Miami-Dade County, FL November 1, 2005 to November 1, 2015), this rate has not been significantly lower since 2008, and is about half the peak level reached around 2010. This low unemployment level bodes well for commercial real […]

Interest Rates 2015: U.S. Treasury Yield Curve Slightly Higher vs. Year Prior

Jan 15, 2016 - Analysis - 0 Comments - Standard

The U.S. Treasury yield curve has shifted up slightly in the past year, as can be seen in the accompanying chart.  Rates, albeit still low, are about 25 to 50 basis points higher at every maturity versus their level about a year ago. The consensus among prognosticators of late has been that rates will edge […]

Keyes Commercial Leads Full Year 2015 Miami-Dade MLS Ranking

Jan 06, 2016 - Analysis - 0 Comments - Standard

In the  twelve months ending December 31, 2015, Keyes Commercial Realty dominated the Miami MLS market share rankings by number of sales transactions of commercial improved properties within Miami-Dade County.  The firm’s impressive 30.1% market share among the top 10 brokers of such properties was more than 2 1/2 times that of its nearest competitor and greater than the […]