James Hawkins, Author at Hawkins Commercial Realty • Page 4 of 45

Chart – Inflation Watch May 2021: Rise in Inflation Expectations Pauses at Elevated Levels; 5-Year TIPS Spread Indicating 2.57%

Jun 15, 2021 - Economy - 0 Comments - Standard

Above is the chart for the 5-Year breakeven inflation rate, commonly referred to as the TIPS spread, for the five years ending May 31, 2021.A calculation of the difference in the yields, i.e. the spread, between United States Treasury bonds and Treasury Inflation-Protected Securities (TIPS) of the same maturity, this spread is a useful and […]

Chart: Miami Commercial Real Estate Sales to List Price Ratio April 2021

May 27, 2021 - Trends - 0 Comments - Standard

The chart above shows the sales to list price ratio as reported by the Miami MLS for improved commercial real estate (MLS classification: commercial/industrial) within Miami-Dade county in Florida priced from $1 million to $10 million from January 2011 to April 2021. This ratio trailed off in April to 91.6%, appearing to be more or […]

Chart: Miami-Dade Population Shrunk in 2020 for First Time Since 1993

May 20, 2021 - Trends - 0 Comments - Standard

Put me down as surprised, even skeptical. Per the St. Louis Fed, for the first time since 1993 the population shrunk year over year, from 2,711,612 in 2019 to 2,707,303 in 2020. Who knew? This also follows negligible growth in the prior two years. You wouldn’t know it in downtown Miami or in any of […]

Chart: Miami-Dade Commercial Real Estate Sales April 2021

May 14, 2021 - Trends - 0 Comments - Standard

The chart above displays the number of closed sales of Miami-Dade commercial properties, including improved commercial property and vacant commercial land, that were recorded in the Miami MLS for the two years ending April 2021. Last month, April 2021, was off somewhat from the prior month’s blistering pace, but was nonetheless in the upper end […]

Inflation Watch April 2021: 5-Year TIPS Spread Levels Out, Indicating 2.5% Inflation Expectations, as 10-Year Continues Climb

May 10, 2021 - Economy - 0 Comments - Standard

Above are charts for the 5-Year and 10-Year breakeven inflation rate, commonly referred to as the TIPS spread, for the five years ending April 30, 2021. This is a calculation of the difference in the yields, i.e. the spread, between United States Treasury bonds and Treasury Inflation-Protected Securities (TIPS) of the same maturity. It is […]

Millage Rates in Miami-Dade County by Municipality, Sorted from High to Low

May 02, 2021 - Uncategorized - 0 Comments - Standard

Millage Rates in Miami-Dade County by Municipality Below here millage rates, which are used to calculate property tax, are listed in alphabetical order by municipality for the various municipalities within Miami-Dade County. These are also show in graph form above, sorted from high to low, with Biscayne Park having the highest millage rate. This highest […]

Chart: Miami-Dade Commercial Real Estate Sales March 2021

Apr 20, 2021 - Uncategorized - 0 Comments - Standard

The chart herein displays the number of closed sales of Miami-Dade commercial properties, including improved commercial property and vacant commercial land, that were recorded in the Miami MLS for the two years ending March 2021. March, as can been seen, was a record for the past two years. Looking back farther than the data in […]

Chart: Miami Commercial Real Estate Sales to List Price Ratio March 2021

Apr 14, 2021 - Trends - 0 Comments - Standard

The sales to list price ratio as reported by the Miami MLS for improved commercial real estate (MLS classification: commercial/industrial) within Miami-Dade county in Florida priced from $1 million to $10 million in March came up a bit to 93% from 89.5% the month prior. Though off of highs in the past 10 years, this […]

Chart: TIPS Spread Indicating Highest Inflation Expectations in 13 Years

Apr 06, 2021 - Economy, Financing - 0 Comments - Standard

The TIPS spread is the difference in the yields between United States Treasury bonds and Treasury Inflation-Protected Securities (TIPS). It is a useful and oft-quoted measure of expectations for (CPI) inflation in the financial markets. The spread indicates expected inflation. Real money is buying these bonds. TIPS pay interest every six months, based on a […]

Visualizing the CRE Market Timer’s Thought Process

Apr 01, 2021 - Analysis - 0 Comments - Standard

These probability distribution charts are the topic of this article. The first is a normal distribution of returns using a combination of a cap rate of 5% and rent growth of 2% (and assuming an unchanged cap rate a year later) further assuming an annualized standard deviation of returns of 6.5%. The second is how […]

Quantifying the Effect of Rent Growth Assumptions on Commercial Real Estate Cap Rates

Mar 25, 2021 - Analysis - 0 Comments - Standard

When considering changes or potential changes in commercial real estate capitalization rates (cap rates), market participants tend to most commonly think of interest rates. However, rent growth assumptions also affect cap rates as the more one expect earnings to grow over time the less return an investor is willing to accept now. This is just […]

Chart: Miami-Dade Commercial Real Estate Sales February 2021

Mar 19, 2021 - Uncategorized - 0 Comments - Standard

The chart in this post shows the number of closed sales of Miami-Dade commercial properties, including improved commercial property and vacant commercial land, that were recorded in the Miami MLS for the two years ending February 2021. One can see that February was a fairly normal sales month for Miami commercial real estate. This is […]

Chart: Miami Commercial Real Estate Sales to List Price Ratio February 2021

Mar 18, 2021 - Trends - 0 Comments - Standard

The sales to list price ratio as reported by the Miami MLS for improved commercial real estate (MLS classification: commercial/industrial) within Miami-Dade county in Florida priced from $1 million to $10 million in February drifted lower to 90.3% from 94.1% the month prior. Though the lowest it has been since September of 2020, this percentage […]

Interactive Map: Land Sales psf by Miami 21 Zoning Code

Mar 12, 2021 - Analysis - 0 Comments - Standard

To use this effectively, you’ll want to filter by zoning. To do that, you’ll need to access this on Google Maps directly using the link later in this post. First, however, read the following: This map was made by using publicly available sales from 2018 to 2020, filtering out sales types such as multi-parcel sales […]